Sustainable Development and Major Industrial Accidents: The Beneficial Role of Risk‐oriented Structural Engineering / Rizika Grindžiamos Konstrukcijų Inžinerijos Įtaka Mažinant Sunkių Pramonių Avarijų Poveikį Darniam Vystymuisi

Abstract

abstract. Sustainable development can be restricted by major accidents which occur in hazardous industries. Almost every major accident may have negative influence on each of the three constituents of the sustainable development: social, environmental and economic part. A characteristic feature of the most of major accidents is severe damage to the structural systems built inside and outside of the industrial facility in which the accident happens. To avoid such accidents or at least to reduce their consequences, structural systems should be designed using a risk-based approach. On the level of detailed structural design, a formal measure of risk should be introduced and applied to express the effectiveness of the structural solution in terms of accident mitigation and minimization of potential consequences. The structural design should involve the consideration of possible accident scenarios and positive or negative contribution of structures and structural failures to the escalation or de-escalation of the accident. This can be done by applying the risk-oriented structural design. A well-established methodological framework for such a design is provided by the quantitative risk assessment. A consequent application of a risk-based approach can be one of the risk management tools which will reduce the number of major accidents and thus their negative influence on sustainable development.

Simulation-Based Predicting the Position of Road Tank Explosions. Part Ii: A Case Study

“…However, the generation of the samples Δ r and Δ min does not require a big computational effort and the size of these samples, N, can be relatively large. In such a case, the samples Δ r and Δ min can be applied to the estimation of the damage probability P(D | B) directly, that is, without fitting a probability distribution to them (Vaidogas 2003(Vaidogas , 2006(Vaidogas , 2007(Vaidogas , 2009Vaidogas, Juocevičius 2007, 2008a, 2008bJuocevičius, Vaidogas 2010).…”

Simulation-Based Predicting the Position of Road Tank Explosions. Part I: Data and Models

“…BLEVE accidents on road are unique, short-lasting and unexpected events and the post mortem data on them is too sparse for fitting f(y). However, the density f(y) and so the probability P(D | B) can be estimated by propagating uncertainties expressed by the lower-level density f(x) through the model ψ(x) (Vaidogas 2007a(Vaidogas , 2007b(Vaidogas , 2009Vaidogas, Juocevičius 2008a, 2008bJuocevičius, Vaidogas 2010). The function ψ(x) can be composed of a relatively large number of models available currently for the prediction of individual effects of BLEVE.…”

Stock Market's Reactions to Industrial Accidents

“…It is clearly that accidents are threats to the sustainability of communities, and often to the environmental resources that those communities depend on. Business (including industry), as the important role of society community, has a responsibility toward the whole of society to engage actively in the sustainability arena (Connor & Dovers, 2004;Vaidogas & Juocevičius, 2008;Brent, Erck & Labuschagne, 2006). Corporate responsibility amounts to taking consideration conditions and effects that are systematically linked to corporate action (Kamppinen et al, 2008).…”