Sun Spots and Hawaiian Eruptions

Lyons, Curtis J.

doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1899)27[144a:ssahe]2.0.co;2

Cited by 4 publications

(5 citation statements)

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“…These common periodicities could explain the numerous correlations obtained between solar and volcanic activity that are discussed in the literature (e.g., Lyons, 1899;Jensen, 1902;Schneider and Mass, 1975;Mazzarella and Palumbo, 1988;1989;Stothers, 1989;Strestik, 2003;Herdiwijaya et al, 2014;Vasilieva and Zharkova, 2020). We have found that several periodicities are common to the NVE and ISSN time series, suggesting a possible link between the two.…”

Section: Nve (Yearsmentioning

confidence: 70%

“…Some studies (some dating back over a century) have highlighted an apparent correlation between global, regional, and local volcanic activity and solar cycles (e.g., Lyons, 1899;Jensen, 1902;Stothers, 1989). Similar observations have been made for large earthquakes as well (e.g., Jensen, 1902;Mazzarella and Palumbo, 1988;Marchitelli et al, 2020).…”

mentioning

confidence: 64%

“…By using a two-step analysis, we suggest that there is a common external force acting on volcanic eruptions on Earth and solar activity, but not necessarily a causal link between solar spots and volcanic eruptions. Such a link would not be favored, as illustrated by various interpretations suggested in the past (e.g., Lyons, 1899;Jensen, 1902;Schneider and Mass, 1975;Mazzarella and Palumbo, 1988;1989;Stothers, 1989;Strestik, 2003;Herdiwijaya et al, 2014;Vasilieva and Zharkova, 2020). Dumont et al (2022) have identified a link between global volcanic eruptions and the global mean sea level, which is known to exhibit planetary-scale periodicities (Le Courtillot et al, 2022a).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…The influence of the Sun (through variations in sunspot numbers) on eruptive activity has also been suggested over longer timescales. Some eruptive events or episodes seem to occur during phases of solar minimum or maximum activity, with cycles mainly of −11 years and −22 years, but also of −80 years and more (Lyons, 1899;Jensen, 1902;Machado, 1960;Schneider and Mass, 1975;Stothers, 1989;Strestik, 2003;Khain and Khalilov, 2009;Qu et al, 2011;Casati, 2014;Herdiwijaya et al, 2014;Ma et al, 2018;Vasilieva and Zharkova, 2020;Dumont et al, 2022). Similarly to short-term timescales and tidal periodicities, these multi-annual to centennial variations are present in other geophysical parameters.…”

Section: Periodicities Detected In Volcanic Activity and Other Geophy...mentioning

confidence: 98%

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On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years

Le Mouël,

Gibert,

Courtillot

et al. 2023

Front. Earth Sci.

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The decryption of the temporal sequence of volcanic eruptions is a key step in better anticipating future events. Volcanic activity results from a complex interaction between internal and external processes, with time scales spanning multiple orders of magnitude. We review periodicities that have been detected or correlated with volcanic eruptions/phenomena and interpreted as resulting from external forces. Taking a global perspective and longer time scales than a few years, we approach this interaction by analyzing three time-series using singular spectral analysis: the global number of volcanic eruptions (NVE) between 1700 and 2022, the number of sunspots (ISSN), a proxy for solar activity, and polar motion (PM) and length of day (lod), two proxies for gravitational force. Several pseudo-periodicities are common to NVE and ISSN, in addition to the 11-year Schwabe cycle that has been reported in previous work, but NVE shares even more periodicities with PM. These quasi-periodic components range from −5 to −130 years. We interpret our analytical results in light of the Laplace’s paradigm and propose that, similarly to the movement of Earth’s rotation axis, global eruptive activity is modulated by commensurable orbital moments of the Jovian planets together with Pluto, whose influence is also detected in solar activity.

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Section: Nve (Yearsmentioning

confidence: 70%

mentioning

confidence: 64%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 98%

Section: Periodicities Detected In Volcanic Activity and Other Geophy...mentioning

confidence: 98%

See 2 more Smart Citations

On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years

Le Mouël,

Gibert,

Courtillot

et al. 2023

Front. Earth Sci.

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“…The early papers tried to link the terrestrial volcanic occurrences with solar activity. [10][11][12][13][14][15][16] Later by applying the wavelet analysis to the historical records of large volcanic eruptions other authors managed to establish a connection between the global volcanicity and solar activity cycle of 11 years. 17,18 Other papers either confirmed 19,20 or denied 21 the existence of 11 year cycles in the volcanic eruptions, while some studies showed close relationships between earthquakes, solar activity and volcanic eruptions, 22,23 though questioned by other researchers.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Terrestrial volcanic eruptions and their association with solar activity

Vasilieva¹,

Zharkova²

2022

Preprint

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We compare the frequencies of volcanic eruptions in the past 270 years with the variations of solar activity and summary curve of principal components of the solar background magnetic field (SBMF) derived from the WSO synoptic magnetic maps. Quartile distributions of volcanic eruption frequencies over the four phases of a 11 year cycle (growth, maximum, descent and minimum) reveal higher numbers of eruptions occurring at the maxima of SBMF of southern polarity with some increases at the minima of sunspot numbers. The frequency analysis of volcanic eruptions with Morlet wavelet reveals that the period of 22 years is more pronounced than 11 years. Comparison of the volcanic frequencies with the summary curve of SBMF for 11 cycles after 1868 (excluding 1950-1980 affected by the open nuclear bomb testing) reveals a strong correlation with the coefficient of -0.84 (within a confidence interval of 95%), while for 8 cycles in the early period of 1750-1868 the correlation becomes nearly twice lower. This lower correlation was likely to be caused by the geomagnetic jerk and migration of the Earth's magnetic pole to lower latitudes. The maxima of volcanic eruptions are shown to occur during solar activity cycles with the southern magnetic polarity that, in turn, can be associated with stronger disturbances of the geomagnetic field leading to the eruption number increase. The next anticipated maximum of volcanic eruptions is expected to occur during cycle 26 (2031-2042), when the solar background magnetic field will have a southern magnetic polarity. These volcanic eruptions can contribute to terrestrial cooling during the modern grand solar minimum (GSM) (2020-2053).

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Mauna Loa Volcano: Historical eruptions, exploration, and observations (1779–1910)

Barnard

1995

Geophysical Monograph Series

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Sun Spots and Hawaiian Eruptions

Cited by 4 publications

References 0 publications

On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years

On the external forcing of global eruptive activity in the past 300 years

Terrestrial volcanic eruptions and their association with solar activity

Mauna Loa Volcano: Historical eruptions, exploration, and observations (1779–1910)

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