2021
DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/783/1/012157
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Study on the Probability Model of Ship-Bridge Collision

Abstract: Based on the comprehensive analysis of the existing major ship collision probability models, this paper combined the advantages of the AASHTO model and the KUNZI model and improved AASHTO model by using the ship simulator to obtain the ship’s track probability distribution curve to replace the original geometric probability distribution curve. It also introduced ship stopping probability function to make up for the shortcomings of the AASHTO model in which the influence of human factors is not considered. Fina… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…In this regard, the determination of the ship-bridge collision probability is the most important part in the risk assessment [29]. In [30], the authors combined the advantages of several ship-bridge collision models and improved the AASHTO model by using the ship simulator to obtain the track probability distribution curve of the ship to replace the original geometric probability distribution curve. Moreover, it introduced ship stopping probability function to address the shortcomings of the AASHTO model.…”
Section: Ship-bridge Collision Risk Assessment Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this regard, the determination of the ship-bridge collision probability is the most important part in the risk assessment [29]. In [30], the authors combined the advantages of several ship-bridge collision models and improved the AASHTO model by using the ship simulator to obtain the track probability distribution curve of the ship to replace the original geometric probability distribution curve. Moreover, it introduced ship stopping probability function to address the shortcomings of the AASHTO model.…”
Section: Ship-bridge Collision Risk Assessment Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It has been pointed out by some scholars previously that at least one major ship-bridge striking accident with serious consequences occurred each year on average in the past [1][2][3][4]. Since the major striking accident at the Sunshine Bridge in the United States in 1980 that attracted the attention of the world, bridge-striking prevention has developed rapidly [5]. However, there is still no striking prevention method that can actively intervene in the case of runaway ships to achieve the purpose of reducing and avoiding such traffic accidents.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%