1976
DOI: 10.1017/s0022172400024566
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Studies on the 1967–68 foot and mouth disease epidemic: incubation period and herd serial interval

Abstract: SUMMARYThe incubation period during this epidemic was studied using both a spectral analysis-cum-filtering method and analysis of case histories. Using spectral analysis, the modal herd serial interval was estimated to be 8-10 days based on the record of the daily number of outbreaks and an adjusted cattle series. The case histories tended to confirm these estimates but indicated that the serial interval varied considerably between species. The filtering method revealed that the herd serial interval apparently… Show more

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Cited by 20 publications
(10 citation statements)
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References 7 publications
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“…These factors will have compromised the validity of the estimates of the age of the lesions, and the age of the disease in sheep was more likely to have been incorrectly estimated than its age in cattle. Hugh‐Jones and Tinline (1976) had similar concerns with their estimates of the incubation period and herd serial interval in the 1967/68 epidemic, and also found differences in the expression of the disease between sheep and cattle. In the 2001 epidemic, early lesions in cattle were easier to recognise and describe, and older lesions in sheep were more difficult.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 71%
“…These factors will have compromised the validity of the estimates of the age of the lesions, and the age of the disease in sheep was more likely to have been incorrectly estimated than its age in cattle. Hugh‐Jones and Tinline (1976) had similar concerns with their estimates of the incubation period and herd serial interval in the 1967/68 epidemic, and also found differences in the expression of the disease between sheep and cattle. In the 2001 epidemic, early lesions in cattle were easier to recognise and describe, and older lesions in sheep were more difficult.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 71%
“…The light blue shading represents incubation periods for each holding, estimated to begin no more than 14 days prior to appearance of lesions [23] . The dark blue shading is the infection date based on the most likely incubation time for this strain of 2–5 days [24] . Each UK 2007 outbreak virus haplotype is plotted according to the time the sample was taken from the affected animal (x axis).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since that time, Great Britain has been free of FMD , except for a minor outbreak in which a single farm was infected in 1981 (Donaldson and others 1982). There have been relatively few very large epidemics of FMD in the world in recent years and publications from those that have occurred tend to address specific aspects such as reporting of disease, incubation periods or control measures and costs (Hugh‐Jones 1976, Hugh‐Jones and Tinline 1976, Yang and others 1999). This paper presents a detailed overview of the epidemiological features of the first five months of a major epidemic which, although largely controlled in most areas of Great Britain, was still ongoing at the time of writing.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%