Prognostic features of serum galactomannan (GM) remain poorly defined in patients with GM-positive invasive aspergillosis (GPA). We identified 93 patients with proven or probable invasive aspergillosis (IA) and GM values of >0.50 from January 2005 to March 2009. We used Cox modeling of time to 6-and 12-week mortality for the GM level at the time of diagnosis (GM 0 ), GM decay in the week following diagnosis in 72 patients with >2 GM values, other predictors of mortality, and antifungal use during the week following diagnosis. Six-week mortality was 55% in the whole cohort and 43% in patients with >2 GM determinations. The hazard ratio (HR) of GM 0 per unit increase and 1-week GM decay per unit decline per week were 1.25 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.54; P ؍ 0.04) and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.63 to 0.96; P ؍ 0.02), respectively, adjusting for other predictors of IA mortality; these values remained stable after adjusting for antifungal use and were predictive of all-cause mortality at 12 weeks with similar adjusted HR values. We conclude that the combination of GM 0 and 1-week GM decay is predictive of all-cause mortality in patients with GPA, independent of other traditional risk factors for mortality and antifungal exposure, supporting GM decay as a potential surrogate endpoint for future antifungal therapeutic trials.Galactomannan (GM) is a cell wall polysaccharide released by growing Aspergillus hyphae (14,20). In experimental animal models of pulmonary invasive aspergillosis (IA), serum GM antigenemia correlates with tissue fungal burden, increasing with progressive disease and declining with effective antifungal therapy (1,2,6,12,16,17,24). In animal models, rising GM antigenemia has been associated with mortality, while clearance of antigenemia has been associated with survival (2,12,16,17).A similar relationship has been observed empirically in humans with IA. Soon after the development of serum GM testing, patients who died of IA were often noted to have progressively rising GM levels, while patients who survived IA gradually cleared their antigenemia (3,4,10,11,21,23). It has also been observed that the use of mold-active antifungal therapy blunts GM diagnostic sensitivity in this setting, as antigenemia declines below the diagnostic threshold with effective therapy (12, 13).Recently, two studies proposed a binarized GM outcome as a possible surrogate outcome measure for IA, based on a strong correlation between GM outcome and poor clinical outcomes in hematologic malignancy and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) patients (9, 27). Success was defined in these studies as a repeatedly negative serum GM in the absence of new extrapulmonary lesions and failure as a persistently positive GM level or death within 2 weeks of GM normalization unless autopsy failed to show evidence of IA. A review of 27 studies of serial GM screening for the diagnosis of IA in hematologic malignancy and HSCT patients also found a correlation between GM levels in the week preceding IA outcome and clinical outcome...