Abstract:Usually, the optimal spinning reserve is studied by considering the balance between the economy and reliability of a power system. However, the uncertainties from the errors of load and wind power output forecasting have seldom been considered. In this paper, the optimal spinning reserve capacity of a power grid considering the wind speed correlation is investigated by Nataf transformation. According to the cost-benefit analysis method, the objective function for describing the optimal spinning reserve capacit… Show more
“…Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3–8]. Profiting from the rapid development of advanced computation techniques and equipment, contemporary power systems can be safeguarded with operating reserve of coordinated response abilities against a broad spectrum of contingencies, that is precisely why hazardous blackout has been compressed to be much rare.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3][4][5][6][7][8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, we have already witnessed grave blackout consequences of complex power systems initiated by unpredictable rare contingencies, for example equipment decay or human-produced or natural hazards [1]. One recognised reason for spawning the observed rare initiators successful evolving into blackout essentially comes down to the lack of awareness of flexible operating reserve backing up very rare supply deficit.Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3][4][5][6][7][8].This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.…”
From the simulation perspective, spinning reserve risk evaluation of power system is commonly a rare-event assessing issue, for which importance sampling is an appealing solution technique. This paper proposes a hybrid importance sampling method for tracing spinning reserve inadequacy risk of power system integrating with renewables. The proposed method is oriented towards a generic high-dimensional integral calculus, which allows for continuous and discrete random variables mixed together for casting kinds of risk indices. To improve the robustness in high-dimensional applications, a partially collapsed Gibbs sampler is devised to help in exploring adaptive training samples which feature typical rare outage events. Interestingly, the originators engendering extreme spinning reserve inadequacy events can be traced using the sampling information of the proposed method. The performance of the proposed method is tested in an updated RTS-79 system vis-à-vis several existing methods. Spinning reserve inadequacy risk tracing is explained by uncovering a scenario frequency distribution concerning the short-term expected energy not supplied.
INTRODUCTIONNowadays, the power systems have evolved to be an indispensable facility of great complexity to support civil life and social development. The increasing complexity primarily intended to be adapted for customer needs and electric markets and newly adopted techniques etc., commonly endows the contemporary power systems with basic defensive abilities against regional credible contingencies. However, we have already witnessed grave blackout consequences of complex power systems initiated by unpredictable rare contingencies, for example equipment decay or human-produced or natural hazards [1]. One recognised reason for spawning the observed rare initiators successful evolving into blackout essentially comes down to the lack of awareness of flexible operating reserve backing up very rare supply deficit.Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3][4][5][6][7][8].This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
“…Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3–8]. Profiting from the rapid development of advanced computation techniques and equipment, contemporary power systems can be safeguarded with operating reserve of coordinated response abilities against a broad spectrum of contingencies, that is precisely why hazardous blackout has been compressed to be much rare.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3][4][5][6][7][8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, we have already witnessed grave blackout consequences of complex power systems initiated by unpredictable rare contingencies, for example equipment decay or human-produced or natural hazards [1]. One recognised reason for spawning the observed rare initiators successful evolving into blackout essentially comes down to the lack of awareness of flexible operating reserve backing up very rare supply deficit.Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3][4][5][6][7][8].This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.…”
From the simulation perspective, spinning reserve risk evaluation of power system is commonly a rare-event assessing issue, for which importance sampling is an appealing solution technique. This paper proposes a hybrid importance sampling method for tracing spinning reserve inadequacy risk of power system integrating with renewables. The proposed method is oriented towards a generic high-dimensional integral calculus, which allows for continuous and discrete random variables mixed together for casting kinds of risk indices. To improve the robustness in high-dimensional applications, a partially collapsed Gibbs sampler is devised to help in exploring adaptive training samples which feature typical rare outage events. Interestingly, the originators engendering extreme spinning reserve inadequacy events can be traced using the sampling information of the proposed method. The performance of the proposed method is tested in an updated RTS-79 system vis-à-vis several existing methods. Spinning reserve inadequacy risk tracing is explained by uncovering a scenario frequency distribution concerning the short-term expected energy not supplied.
INTRODUCTIONNowadays, the power systems have evolved to be an indispensable facility of great complexity to support civil life and social development. The increasing complexity primarily intended to be adapted for customer needs and electric markets and newly adopted techniques etc., commonly endows the contemporary power systems with basic defensive abilities against regional credible contingencies. However, we have already witnessed grave blackout consequences of complex power systems initiated by unpredictable rare contingencies, for example equipment decay or human-produced or natural hazards [1]. One recognised reason for spawning the observed rare initiators successful evolving into blackout essentially comes down to the lack of awareness of flexible operating reserve backing up very rare supply deficit.Operating reserve planning accounting for probabilistic factors can be traced back to 1963 [2], and since that period, the literature has documented several operating reserve planning schemes to economically hedging against outage risk, especially for renewable energy systems in recent passing years [3][4][5][6][7][8].This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
“…Reference [10] found that system generation capacity may be influenced by multipliers related to the risk of overestimation as well as the cost of underestimating the available wind power. Moreover, the optimal spinning reserve cost of a wind power system can be used to evaluate the influence of wind power on the selection of the spinning reserve level of a power system [11], [12]. Reference [13], [14] found that as the wind power capacity increased, the system increased the amount of reserve carried or faced a measurable decrease in reliability.…”
Wind power and electric vehicles (EVs) can provide a clean environment for power systems; however, there are challenges in objectively evaluating the economic value of power dispatching. In view of these challenges, a multi-objective dynamic dispatching model of wind power and EVs combined with stochastic characteristics is constructed in this study. The proposed model considered the uncertain output cost of wind power as well as the characteristics of cluster control charging and discharging after the construction of a refined electric vehicle model. An improved MOEA/D algorithm is applied to correct problems in the proposed model. The rationality and validity of the proposed model were verified through joint dispatch analysis of wind power and EVs.INDEX TERMS Economic-emission dispatch, wind power, electric vehicle, probabilistic characteristics.
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