Abstract:The paper analyses, spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation over Montenegro. Data on mean monthly precipitation during the period 1961–2015 from 17 meteorological stations were used for the analysis. Four regions with different spatial precipitation regimes were identified by using the principal component analysis and the agglomerative hierarchical clustering method. A downward tendency in annual precipitation prevails over Montenegro. The most prominent reduction was present in the summer season. In co… Show more
“…Similar results were also obtained for the European continent (Chen et al, 2015;Klein-Tank & Können, 2003). On the regional level, annual precipitation showed no uniform trend (Ćulafić et al, 2020;Gajić-Čapka et al, 2015;Unkašević & Tošić, 2011), while precipitation intensity had regionally increased (Alpert et al, 2002;Andjelković et al, 2018;Tošić et al, 2016). Non-significant positive values were detected on the majority of meteorological stations in Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro, except for some stations (in mountainous areas) with a significant precipitation increase from 2% to 8% per decade (Milošević et al, 2021).…”
Floods are the most frequent and devastating natural hazard event in Bosnia
and Herzegovina. The detected increase in extreme precipitation over the
study area in the last period has altered flood event patterns due to
climate changes. Higher frequency of flood events and lack of flood
protection infrastructure has a severe impact on socio-economic sectors and
natural ecosystems. This paper focuses on the identification of flooded
areas for each single flooding event in the lower part of the Sana river
basin during the period 2016-2020. For delineating flooded areas, both radar
and optical satellite imagery were used. Data obtained after processing
remote sensing images were overlaid with a detailed land cover map in order
to get insight into flooded land cover types. From temporal aspects, floods
are most common during the spring season. They are usually caused by rapid
snowmelt and prolonged excessive precipitation. Considering spatial aspects,
flooded areas vary from 110 to 522 hectares in the study area. Over 95% of
the flooded areas are arable land, meadows and pastures. Most affected
settlements by floods are urban and suburban area of Prijedor, Gomjenica,
Hambarine, Rakovcani, Rizvanovici, Brezicani, Donja Dragotinja, Vitasavci,
Svodna, Blagaj Rijeka and urban area of Novi Grad. The applied
methodological approach represents a starting point for further
investigation of flooded areas in the Sana basin and data obtained by this
analysis can be used in water management, spatial planning and emergency
planning.
“…Similar results were also obtained for the European continent (Chen et al, 2015;Klein-Tank & Können, 2003). On the regional level, annual precipitation showed no uniform trend (Ćulafić et al, 2020;Gajić-Čapka et al, 2015;Unkašević & Tošić, 2011), while precipitation intensity had regionally increased (Alpert et al, 2002;Andjelković et al, 2018;Tošić et al, 2016). Non-significant positive values were detected on the majority of meteorological stations in Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro, except for some stations (in mountainous areas) with a significant precipitation increase from 2% to 8% per decade (Milošević et al, 2021).…”
Floods are the most frequent and devastating natural hazard event in Bosnia
and Herzegovina. The detected increase in extreme precipitation over the
study area in the last period has altered flood event patterns due to
climate changes. Higher frequency of flood events and lack of flood
protection infrastructure has a severe impact on socio-economic sectors and
natural ecosystems. This paper focuses on the identification of flooded
areas for each single flooding event in the lower part of the Sana river
basin during the period 2016-2020. For delineating flooded areas, both radar
and optical satellite imagery were used. Data obtained after processing
remote sensing images were overlaid with a detailed land cover map in order
to get insight into flooded land cover types. From temporal aspects, floods
are most common during the spring season. They are usually caused by rapid
snowmelt and prolonged excessive precipitation. Considering spatial aspects,
flooded areas vary from 110 to 522 hectares in the study area. Over 95% of
the flooded areas are arable land, meadows and pastures. Most affected
settlements by floods are urban and suburban area of Prijedor, Gomjenica,
Hambarine, Rakovcani, Rizvanovici, Brezicani, Donja Dragotinja, Vitasavci,
Svodna, Blagaj Rijeka and urban area of Novi Grad. The applied
methodological approach represents a starting point for further
investigation of flooded areas in the Sana basin and data obtained by this
analysis can be used in water management, spatial planning and emergency
planning.
The Montenegrin climate is characterised as very heterogeneous due to its complex topography. The viticultural heritage, dating back to before the Roman empire, is settled in a Mediterranean climate region, located south of the capital Podgorica, where climate conditions favour red wine production. However, an overall increase in warmer and drier periods affects traditional viticulture. The present study aims to discuss climate change impacts on Montenegrin viticulture. Bioclimatic indices, ensembled from five climate models, were analysed for both historical (1981–2010) and future (2041–2070) periods upon three socio-economic pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. CHELSA (≈1 km) was the selected dataset for this analysis. Obtained results for all scenarios have shown the suppression of baseline conditions for viticulture. The average summer temperature might reach around 29.5 °C, and the growing season average temperature could become higher than 23.5 °C, advancing phenological events. The Winkler index is estimated to range from 2900 °C up to 3100 °C, which is too hot for viticulture. Montenegrin viticulture requires the application of adaptation measures focused on reducing temperature-increase impacts. The implementation of adaptation measures shall start in the coming years, to assure the lasting productivity and sustainability of viticulture.
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