Spatial analysis of the spread of Covid-19 and its demographic consequences in the regions of the South of European Russia

Abstract

The article presents results of the multi-scale analysis of the processes of coronavirus infection spread and its impact on the demographic situation in the world, Russia and regions of the South of the European part of Russia. The methodological basis of the study was the principles of geoinformation monitoring, making it possible to process and visualize large volumes of diverse materials. The information base was statistical data from the Russian and foreign sources reflecting the spread of coronavirus infection at various spatial levels from global to regional-local. The characteristic features of changes in the parameters of the disease during its active expansion are described. The article also deals with dynamics in demographic indicators and identifies trends in their widespread deterioration. The contribution of the South of European Russia macro-region to the all-Russian Covid-19 situation is determined. Development of the coronavirus pandemic at the level of municipal districts is analyzed using individual regions as an example. The study identifies main factors of the Covid-19 pandemic development and demonstrates some of its features and consequences in the largest urban agglomerations.

Proportion of COVID-19 survivors in 2020-2022 in the Russian population (according to the ESSE-RF3 study)

“…Высокая доля заболевших COVID-19 в регионах с высокой численностью городского населения (городских конгломератах) подтверждена в проведенном нами анализе и ряде других исследований [6,7]. К мысли об определяющей роли урбанизации приходят и авторы анализа распространенности COVID-19 в ряде регионов РФ [8]. Соглашаясь с ведущей ролью урбанизации в контексте пандемии, сельское население, по нашим данным, болело COVID-19 реже горожан, но существенно тяжелее: госпитализированные сельские жители нуждались в ИВЛ в ~2 раза чаще, чем горожане.…”