Social Science and Population Policy

Demeny, Paul

doi:10.2307/1972198

Cited by 107 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…20 Second, ideal family size may be affected by rationalization. 1,12,25,26 When individuals' actual family size surpasses their ideal family size, they tend to adjust the latter so that it is close to the actual size of their family; this allows them to avoid giving the impression of having unwanted children (the number of children in excess of the ideal is generally regarded as unwanted). 18 This phenomenon results in a systematic bias in responses, and contributes to inconsistency in the measurement of fertility desire.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Consistency and Predictive Ability of Fertility Preference Indicators: Longitudinal Evidence from Rural India

Roy¹,

Sinha²,

Koenig³

et al. 2008

IFPP

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Consistency and Predictive Ability of Fertility Preference Indicators: Longitudinal Evidence from Rural India

Roy¹,

Sinha²,

Koenig³

et al. 2008

IFPP

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“…The idea that couples (or individuals) seize upon apparent opportunities for childbearing builds upon or is consistent with numerous microeconomic decision-making models (Becker, 1960;Davis, 1963;Demeny, 1988;Easterlin, 1962;1971;Stokes, 1995). Patricia Draper's (1989, p. 147) observation is to the point: "the critical factor affecting reproductive decision making is the individual's perception of resource quantity, rather than absolute resource quantity ....…”

Section: Perception Of Wellbeing and The Fertility Ratementioning

confidence: 74%

A Darwinian account of the fertility opportunity hypothesis

Abernethy

1999

Popul Environ

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Reproduction is a sine qua non for the continuance of any gene pool. Therefore, it would be strange if natural selection failed to act on reproductive patterns, even among humans where the most characteristic adaptations are cognitive and culturally-mediated. In fact, the regularity of human fertility rate responses to variation in the opportunity structure has been documented in many contexts. Humans appear to be alert to environmental signs that indicate whether conditions for childbearing and nurture are more or less optimal, given the possibilities. Specifically, a perception that economic opportunity is expanding, so that relatively many children could probably be successfully raised to maturity, is associated with early marriage and larger family size.The growth and Encrease of Mankind is not so much stinted by anything in the nature of the Species, as it is from the cautious difficulty most People make to adventure on the state of marriage, from the prospect of the

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“…The demography literature establishes that even if a population holds its mortality schedule constant (age-specific death rates), altering the fertility schedule (age-specific fertility rates) will have a significant impact on the future size of the population (Demeny 1988;Pritchett 1994). Analogously, adjusting prison entrance rates should have an effect on the size of the prison population, yet few studies have incorporated knowledge about both entrance and exit dynamics.…”

Section: Strategies To Zero Prison Population Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Strategies, Complexities, and Realities of Zero Prison Population Growth

Patterson

2017

Social Sciences

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Abstract:Although there is general consensus that growth in the prison population should be reversed, there is little agreement on how to achieve this goal. In this paper, I apply classic demographic methods to answer questions that assess the strategies, complexities, and realities of routes to zero and negative prison population growth. Modified admissions policies have had the greatest impact on halting growth, whereas decreasing the length of sentences has had only a modest, short-term influence on the prison population size. As state and federal policy-makers consider reducing sentences for selective classes of nonviolent offenders, it is important that they have a holistic understanding of the implications of such policies. Traditionally, this type of modification has been coupled with more punitive policies for violent offenders, a pattern that reinforces the appearance of having "tough on crime" policies. Model estimates show that such strategies countervail the overall goal of decreasing the size of the prison population. Regardless of underlying reasons to halt growth of the prison populations, integration of the formal demography enable a means to assess the shortand long-term consequences of current and future policy.

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Social Science and Population Policy

Cited by 107 publications

References 8 publications

Consistency and Predictive Ability of Fertility Preference Indicators: Longitudinal Evidence from Rural India

Consistency and Predictive Ability of Fertility Preference Indicators: Longitudinal Evidence from Rural India

A Darwinian account of the fertility opportunity hypothesis

The Strategies, Complexities, and Realities of Zero Prison Population Growth

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