2015
DOI: 10.1038/srep17074
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Small-scale pig farmers’ behavior, silent release of African swine fever virus and consequences for disease spread

Abstract: The expanding distribution of African swine fever (ASF) is threatening the pig industry worldwide. Most outbreaks occur in backyard and small-scale herds, where poor farmers often attempt to limit the disease’s economic consequences by the emergency sale of their pigs. The risk of African swine fever virus (ASFV) release via this emergency sale was investigated. Simulation modeling was used to study ASFV transmission in backyard and small-scale farms as well as the emergency sale of pigs, and the potential imp… Show more

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Cited by 53 publications
(62 citation statements)
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“…The effectiveness of prevention is also influenced by socioeconomic, cultural, or traditional factors that will predispose the capability, attitudes, or willingness of people involved in disease control to implement preventive strategies. The understanding of such factors is particularly critical for backyards and small farmers, since economic and resources restraints can more easily limit the achievement of the preventive measure objective (16, 95). Generally, the effectiveness of preventive measures will be related to how farmers perceive the importance of each measures as well as what measures they are actually implementing (55).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The effectiveness of prevention is also influenced by socioeconomic, cultural, or traditional factors that will predispose the capability, attitudes, or willingness of people involved in disease control to implement preventive strategies. The understanding of such factors is particularly critical for backyards and small farmers, since economic and resources restraints can more easily limit the achievement of the preventive measure objective (16, 95). Generally, the effectiveness of preventive measures will be related to how farmers perceive the importance of each measures as well as what measures they are actually implementing (55).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A spatial regression analysis found density of the road network, of water bodies and of the domestic swine population to be associated with outbreaks in Russia [34] and a spatial spread model found the movement of infected animals to be the most important factor in the spread of ASFV [35]. In the backyard sector the main risk factors are human induced, such as illegal movements of infected pork meat and swill feeding together with suspected cases underreporting and “emergency sales” [36]. The backyard sector commonly uses swill as supplementary feed, which may include untreated ASFV contaminated pork or pig products.…”
Section: Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the confirmation of ASFV may suggest a number of scenarios i.e. (i) infected pigs never get reported by farmers, (ii) the disease reporting system is not efficient (Tsofo, 2010), (iii) perhaps the positive pigs were brought in from infected locations or (iv) the pigs were carriers from previously infected herd (Costard et al, 2015). The result obtained also revealed that 41.7% of the ownership of pigs within the study area were by males against 58.3% by females (Table 1).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%