Simulation modeling of changes in demand for rail transportation

Zhuravleva, Natalia A.; Gulyi, I.; Shavshukov, Vyacheslav

doi:10.1088/1755-1315/403/1/012230

Cited by 14 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…When developing a model of reliability of the railway freight forecasting system, we find confirmation of the reliability of the data architecture proposed by us, which ensures the effectiveness of managerial decision-making in conditions of uncertainty and the achievement of complex goals within the framework of developed transport development strategies [10]. The parameters of modeling the demand for rail transportation, taking into account structural changes affecting the activities of the main sectors of the national economy [11], can significantly improve the analytical base for the development of freight forecasts. In general, a significant amount of research indicates the importance of finding optimal solutions when predicting the volume and structure of cargo transportation in the current instability of the transport services market and numerous logistical sanctions restrictions [12,13].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 58%

Analytical model of reliability of the freight rail transportation forecasting system

Zhuravleva,

Chechenova

2024

BIO Web Conf.

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The purpose of the study: to develop an analytical model of the reliability of the freight transportation forecasting system by railway transport. Methods: economic and mathematical methods and models of transportation forecasting adapted to the peculiarities of railway freight transportation –models based on “Bottom/Top” approaches, methods of predictive adjustment by types of cargo, methods of scenario forecasting. Results: an analytical model of the reliability of the freight rail transportation forecasting system has been developed, the distinctive feature of which is the integration of cargo transportation evaluation indicators, characteristics of scenario methods and parameters of the forecasting process, a forecast has been formed for the volume and structure of freight traffic following through the Oktyabrskaya railway landfill for the future up to 2030 in the category of main types of cargo.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 58%

Analytical model of reliability of the freight rail transportation forecasting system

Zhuravleva,

Chechenova

2024

BIO Web Conf.

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“…Based on the results of the literature analysis [2][3][4][5], it can be concluded that the main type of problems hindering the development of the high-speed freight transportation market consists in technical and technological barriers, and the lack of full and timely financing of development projects in progress.…”

Section: The Results Of the Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Infrastructural constraints impeding the development of high-speed freight rail transportation in Russia

Sivertceva

2023

E3S Web Conf.

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The article is devoted to the problem of infrastructural restrictions that hinder the development of high-speed freight transportation by rail in the Russian Federation. The relevance of the chosen topic is confirmed by the presence of a significant number of scientific publications that reflect the national specifics of the modern development of freight transportation using HSR and their infrastructure. The purpose of the article is to determine the infrastructural constraints that hinder the development of freight transportation in HSR transport systems tailored to the Russian specifics of infrastructure development. The object of the study is the infrastructure of railway transport and the rolling stock fleet, the subject is high-speed freight transportation. The main methods used in the study are an analysis and systematization of scientific publications on the topic, a quantitative analysis of open-source data, and interviews with Russian experts in the field under study. In the course of research there have been systematized the infrastructural constraints that hinder the development of high-speed freight transportation in Russia, and the possibilities of using special rolling stock have been considered. According to the results of the study of the Russian service market, there are determined the prospects for its further development through the introduction of a new type of railway transport service, “container — express”, and the factors preventing its successful adaptation. The results obtained can be useful both to the business community in terms of developing strategies and tactics for the introduction of high-speed container freight transportation into the segment of the Russian market, and to regulatory authorities in the field of transport in terms of promoting innovative business models and improving the quality of transport customer service.

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“…The nature and scale of the problems studied, connects the study with the works of Russian scientists and practitioners [1][2][3][4][5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modern challenges of the digital ecosystem of transport and logistics

Panyushkina

2023

E3S Web Conf.

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The modern stage in the development of the transport industry is characterized by changes in the traditional economic models of interaction between multiple participants in the provision of transport and logistics services. These changes are caused by digital technologies that form a new digital outline of the business models of the transport industry. The digital ecosystem of transport and logistics is the basis for the breakthrough development of the Russian economy and increasing its competitiveness. However, the digital update format does not offer ready-made solutions, its deployment is constrained by the lack of the necessary number of competent personnel, the high cost of implementing and maintaining digital tools, ensuring high reliability, data preservation and security. All this requires additional resources to overcome the emerging barriers with minimal losses. In this regard, the study of the stated topic is demanded and relevant. Therefore, the purpose of the current study is to systematize the main challenges that create imbalances in the pace and scale of modification of the digital circuit of the transport and logistics ecosystem of the Russian Federation. The need to systematize the challenges in creating the digital contour of the transport and logistics ecosystem is justified by the presence of multiple economic interests in this area, including socially significant ones. However, their multidirectional and contradictory nature hinders the rate of formation of a single trend of development of the transport complex and logistics activities of all participants providing services, as well as the creation of a single digital platform that accumulates the potential for effective interaction of transport complex operators. The study was conducted using general scientific methods of knowledge, such as: generalization and systematization of scientific and statistical data on the risks of the barrier environment in the digital transformation of the Russian transport industry, forming the main challenges of the digital ecosystem of transport and logistics, their comparative analysis, synthesis, application of systemic and functional approaches.

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Simulation modeling of changes in demand for rail transportation

Cited by 14 publications

References 3 publications

Analytical model of reliability of the freight rail transportation forecasting system

Analytical model of reliability of the freight rail transportation forecasting system

Infrastructural constraints impeding the development of high-speed freight rail transportation in Russia

Modern challenges of the digital ecosystem of transport and logistics

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