2000
DOI: 10.1603/0022-0493-93.3.658
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Simulated Predictions of Insect Phenological Events Made by Using Mean and Median Functional Lower Developmental Thresholds

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Cited by 16 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…Fourth, if pest managers feel that use of mean required thermal summations and mean lower developmental thresholds would provide for accurate predictions of adult A. nigriscutis first emergence, then fewer location-years would be needed to acquire acceptable estimates of those parameters. However, as simulations conducted by Legg et al (2000) have indicated that use of median required thermal summations and median lower developmental thresholds may provide superior predictions of insect phenological events in the field, pest managers may consider using these parameters to predict the first emergence of A. nigriscutis adults. If they choose to do so, however, more location-years will be needed to acquire acceptable estimates of those parameters.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Fourth, if pest managers feel that use of mean required thermal summations and mean lower developmental thresholds would provide for accurate predictions of adult A. nigriscutis first emergence, then fewer location-years would be needed to acquire acceptable estimates of those parameters. However, as simulations conducted by Legg et al (2000) have indicated that use of median required thermal summations and median lower developmental thresholds may provide superior predictions of insect phenological events in the field, pest managers may consider using these parameters to predict the first emergence of A. nigriscutis adults. If they choose to do so, however, more location-years will be needed to acquire acceptable estimates of those parameters.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The computer programme CALFUN (v.2.0) (Legg et al 1998b(Legg et al , 2000 can then be used to estimate the lower developmental threshold and required thermal summation. Briefly, CALFUN does this by calculating and summing thermal units (8C), for each temperature file, using each of 14`trial' or`prospective' lower developmental thresholds.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several methods have been used for estimating the lower developmental threshold of insects from Þeld studies (Magoon and Culpepper 1932, Hoover 1955, Arnold 1959, Thomson and Moncrieff 1982, Lysyk 1989, including the modiÞed regression method of Legg et al (1998aLegg et al ( , 1998b. Recently, the modiÞed regression method was incorporated into a computer program, CALFUN (version 2.0), to calculate functional lower developmental thresholds and required degree-days (Legg et al 1998b(Legg et al , 2000. Legg et al (1998a) noted that many functional lower developmental thresholds are less in value than what they should be (biased).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Phenological models based on population dynamics and the environmental parameters that drive them invariably include the effect of temperature. The relationship between temperature and rate of development is a critical factor that influences pest biology, distribution and abundance (Braman et al, 1984;Legg et al, 2000;Tobin et al, 2002Tobin et al, , 2003.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%