Sibling Recurrence and the Genetic Epidemiology of Autism

Abstract

Objective Although the symptoms of autism exhibit quantitative distributions in nature, estimates of recurrence risk in families have never previously considered or incorporated quantitative characterization of the autistic phenotype among siblings. Method We report the results of quantitative characterization of 2,920 children from 1,235 families participating in a national volunteer register who met the criteria of having at least one child clinically-affected by an autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and at least one full biological sibling. Results The occurrence of a traditionally-defined ASD in an additional child occurred in 10.9% of the families. An additional 20% of non-ASD-affected siblings had a history of language delay, half of whom had exhibited autistic qualities of speech. Quantitative characterization using the Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS) supported previously-reported aggregation of a wide range of subclinical (quantitative) autistic traits among otherwise unaffected children in multiple-incidence families, and a relative absence of quantitative autistic traits among siblings in single-incidence autism families. Girls whose standardized severity ratings fell above a first percentile severity threshold (relative to the general population distribution) were significantly less likely to have elicited community diagnoses than their male counterparts. Conclusions These data suggest that, depending on how it is defined, sibling recurrence in ASD may exceed previously-published estimates, and varies as a function of family type. The results support differences in mechanisms of genetic transmission between simplex and multiplex autism, and advance current understanding of the genetic epidemiology of autism.

Clinical genetics evaluation in identifying the etiology of autism spectrum disorders: 2013 guideline revisions

“…The accepted published recurrence risk for full siblings is approximately 3-10%-although newer studies are suggesting that this risk may be higher. 8,9 Modified for sex, the risks are 7% if the affected child is female and 4% if the affected child is male.…”

“…7 If multiple children (two or more) have autism, the recurrence risk is on the order of 33-50% for any future pregnancy. 7 Two recent studies 8,9 have reported even higher recurrence risks of 11 and 19% with single-sibling involvement. The first 8 was a retrospective self-enrolled/self-identified study using an interactive website.…”

“…7 Two recent studies 8,9 have reported even higher recurrence risks of 11 and 19% with single-sibling involvement. The first 8 was a retrospective self-enrolled/self-identified study using an interactive website. The diagnosis was confirmed, but the identification of second siblings may be a source of ascertainment bias.…”

“…Interestingly, the typically reported sex bias was not noted in one of these studies. 8 Both were single studies that bear replication.The autism spectrum disorders are a collective of conditions that have in common impaired socialization and communication in association with stereotypic behaviors. The reported incidence of autism spectrum disorders has increased dramatically over the past two decades.…”

“…Interestingly, the typically reported sex bias was not noted in one of these studies. 8 Both were single studies that bear replication.…”