2022
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-022-01772-5
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Shoaling guppies evade predation but have deadlier parasites

Abstract: Parasites exploit hosts to replicate and transmit, but overexploitation kills host and parasite (1): predators may shift this cost-benefit balance by consuming hosts (2-4) or changing host behavior, but the strength of these effects remains unclear. Modeling both, we find a primary, strong effect: hosts group to defend against predators (5), increasing parasite transmission, thus multiple infections, and therefore favoring more exploitative, virulent, parasites (6). Indeed, among 18 Trinidadian Gyrodactyus spp… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(28 citation statements)
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“…But if predation does not interact with anti-infection defence, increased selective predation should decrease prevalence and virulence as previously expected. Higher predation in guppy populations results in higher prevalence of worm ectoparasite infection and more virulent parasites [21], as our model predicts, but the selectivity of predation in this focal system has been indirectly supported by one study [32] and challenged by another [46].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 64%
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“…But if predation does not interact with anti-infection defence, increased selective predation should decrease prevalence and virulence as previously expected. Higher predation in guppy populations results in higher prevalence of worm ectoparasite infection and more virulent parasites [21], as our model predicts, but the selectivity of predation in this focal system has been indirectly supported by one study [32] and challenged by another [46].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 64%
“…Increased host mortality generally leads to declining force of infection and thus decreasing investment in the resistance that prevents infection [41]; we get equivalent results when increasing d (electronic supplementary material, figure S5), which does not interact directly with contact rate. Predictably [21], we get very different results when the mortality source (predation) selects for higher contact rates, leading to increasing contact rates and increasing prevalence with predation (figures 1 and 2). Increased host mortality is also expected to lead to increased virulence if multiple infections are unimportant or decreased virulence if they are important [27]; we find this result without contact rate evolution (see orange curve in figure 2 j ) but with contact rate evolution, increasing contact rates drive much stronger selection for virulence (compare figure 2 j , n ; see also electronic supplementary material, table S2).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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