Shifting responsibilities in Western European pension systems: What future for social models?

Ebbinghaus, Bernhard; Whiteside, Noel

doi:10.1177/1468018112455655

Cited by 28 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…Moreover, younger workers are necessary to pay into social insurance. Most country's multi-pillar systems draw heavily on pay-as-you-go and public tax funding (Ebbinghaus and Whiteside 2012). Without new workers, the state lacks funds to make good on retirement income or health insurance owed to pensioners (UN 2001).…”

Section: Figure 1 Immigrants and Anti-immigrant Parties In Western Ementioning

confidence: 99%

Anti-Immigrant Parties and Western European Society: Analyzing the Role of Immigration and Forecasting Voting

Breznau¹

2018

Preprint

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This paper analyzes and predicts the trajectory of immigration and anti-immigration parties in Western Europe from 1962 to 2035. Immigration increased steadily until the 2000s when it reached unprecedented levels. By 2017, countries in Western Europe average 11% of votes cast for antiimmigrant parties. The percentage of the population that are first generation immigrants predicts between 50 and 94% of the variance in these votes across countries in Western Europe. Using methods of vector autoregression this paper analyzes the statistically causal role of immigration for predicting voting. Then using multilevel time-series models and qualitative cohort adjustments it forecasts both immigration and voting. Even the most conservative predictions suggest over 15% of the vote going to anti-immigrant parties by 2035. Given Europe's aging population and declining productivity, continued immigration to fill jobs among several segments of the labor market is necessary. This paper discusses the implications for the future of Europe drawing on theories of group dynamics and empirical research on politics and societies.

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Section: Figure 1 Immigrants and Anti-immigrant Parties In Western Ementioning

confidence: 99%

Anti-Immigrant Parties and Western European Society: Analyzing the Role of Immigration and Forecasting Voting

Breznau¹

2018

Preprint

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“…Most European countries have taken steps towards multi‐pillar, multi‐scheme pension regimes in their pension policy, usually by introducing new, private sector pension schemes (e.g. Ebbinghaus and Whiteside ). However, pension privatization has also led to the large‐scale emergence of mandated private pensions and of privately managed but publicly defined mandatory pension schemes (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The role of mandated private pension schemes in contemporary pension provision has been highlighted in academic research (Ebbinghaus ; Ebbinghaus and Whiteside ; Bridgen and Meyer ), as well as by practitioners, politicians and civil servants (e.g. Boeri et al .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It could even be argued that administration has replaced policy as the main object of contemporary pension politics. Especially after the financial crisis that started in 2008, the increasing demand for the collective regulation of pensions has undermined easy distinctions between public and private responsibility assumed in policy debates and shifted the focus towards administrative features (Ebbinghaus and Whiteside : 266–7). Moreover, as Ebbinghaus and Whiteside note, academic debates have focused on the ‘liberal turn’ in European pension policy, even though current trends point towards ‘increasingly oligarchic’ forms of governance over both public and private pensions (Ebbinghaus and Whiteside : 266–7).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Public–Private Partnerships in European Old‐Age Pension Provision: An Accountability Perspective

Sorsa

2015

Soc Policy Adm

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Over the last few decades, the boundary between public and private responsibility in old-age pension provisions has been redrawn throughout Europe. A new, public-private mix has emerged, not only in pension policy, but also in pension administration. The purpose of this article is to map and conduct a comparative analysis of the administrative design of public-private partnerships (PPPs) in European pension regimes, with a specific focus on how accountabilities are institutionally enforced within the PPP design. Previous literature has recognized accountability as an important factor in promoting trust in mandated pension schemes. However, as the literature on PPPs suggests, institutional arrangements of accountability are more complex in the case of PPPs than has been suggested by previous studies on pension administration. Thus, there is a need for further elaboration of existing comparative models. This study's analysis examines 19 old-age pension schemes that existed in 18 European countries at the beginning of 2013. The findings suggest that significant variations in accountability structures exist, even among schemes that are similar in terms of their pension policy targets. It is concluded that various schemes suffer from ineffective accountability structures that may compromise the legitimacy and sustainability of PPP-type pension schemes.

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“…1 1 The boundaries between public and private responsibility in financial and regulatory matters, however, remain rather fluent and subject to change (Ebbinghaus and Whiteside 2012). …”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

The Privatization and Marketization of Pensions in Europe: A Double Transformation Facing the Crisis

Ebbinghaus

2015

European Policy Analysis

Self Cite

113

121

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In response to the demographic challenges and fiscal constraints, many European welfare states have moved toward the privatization and marketization of pensions in order to improve their financial sustainability. The privatization of retirement income responsibility has led to a shift from dominantly public pensions to a multi‐pillar architecture with growing private pillars composed of personal, firm‐based, or collectively negotiated pension arrangements. At the same time, marketization has led to the introduction and expansion of prefunded pension savings based on financial investments as well as stronger reliance of market‐logic principles in the remaining public pay‐as‐you‐go (PAYG) pensions. However, there are also important cross‐national variations in the speed, scope, and structural outcome of the privatization and marketization of European pension systems. Liberal market economies, but also some coordinated market economies (the Netherlands and Switzerland) as well as the Nordic countries have embraced multi‐pillar strategies earlier and more widely, while the Bismarckian pensions systems and the post‐socialist transition countries of Eastern Europe have been belated converts. The recent financial market and economic crisis, however, indicates that the double transformation may entail short‐term problems and long‐term uncertainties about the social and political sustainability of these privatized and marketized multi‐pillar strategies.

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Shifting responsibilities in Western European pension systems: What future for social models?

Cited by 28 publications

References 34 publications

Anti-Immigrant Parties and Western European Society: Analyzing the Role of Immigration and Forecasting Voting

Anti-Immigrant Parties and Western European Society: Analyzing the Role of Immigration and Forecasting Voting

Public–Private Partnerships in European Old‐Age Pension Provision: An Accountability Perspective

The Privatization and Marketization of Pensions in Europe: A Double Transformation Facing the Crisis

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