Selection of hazard-consistent hurricane scenarios for regional combined hurricane wind and flood loss estimation

Pei, Bin; Pang, Weichiang; Testik, Firat Yener; Ravichandran, Nadarajah; Liu, Fangqian

doi:10.1007/s11069-017-3149-z

Cited by 5 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 18 publications

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“…Previous studies on the impact of climate change on future building damage and loss have primarily focused on capturing changes in climate parameters and their relationship with estimated losses (Pita et al, 2012;Liu, 2014;Pant and Cha, 2018;Pei et al, 2018;Wang and Rosowsky, 2018;Pant and Cha, 2019a;Pant and Cha, 2019b). Hence, further attention is required in improving structural performance, quantifying costs, and assessing the benefits of various adaptive measures under a dynamic risk level caused by the impact of climate change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional climate change adaptation planning: a case study on single-story wooden-frame residential buildings vulnerable to hurricane winds in selected US coastal locations

Salarieh,

Salman

2024

Front. Built Environ.

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The projected increase in sea surface temperature due to climate change is expected to substantially intensify future hurricanes. Wooden light-frame residential buildings are particularly vulnerable to hurricane damage, and their risk is expected to increase due to heightened exposure and intensifying hurricanes. Therefore, adaptation strategies need to be planned to reduce damage to such buildings while considering the impact of climate change on hurricanes. This study investigates the effectiveness of various climate change adaptation strategies for coastal wood-frame single-story residential buildings and demonstrates how these strategies can be planned. The study considers the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) proposed by the IPCC to investigate the impact of climate change on wind hazard and losses. Additionally, three locations in the coastal United States of varying sizes, exposure, and hurricane hazard levels are considered: Harris County, Texas; Mobile County, Alabama; and Miami-Dade County, Florida. The results show that the increase in wind speeds and losses will be non-linear with time. All considered adaptation strategies decreased losses, with some able to completely counter the increasing losses even under high emission scenarios. Investigating the effectiveness of adaptive measures can guide stakeholders in allocating funds and efforts for hurricane risk management and enhancing community resilience.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional climate change adaptation planning: a case study on single-story wooden-frame residential buildings vulnerable to hurricane winds in selected US coastal locations

Salarieh,

Salman

2024

Front. Built Environ.

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Modeling the economic impact of incoming tropical cyclones using machine learning

Wendler-Bosco

Nicholson

2021

Nat Hazards

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Impact of changes in sea surface temperature due to climate change on hurricane wind and storm surge hazards across US Atlantic and Gulf coast regions

2023

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Communities in US coastal regions are threatened by hurricanes more than ever, and the effect of climate change may further aggravate the risk and corresponding losses in the future. This paper investigates the potential impact of changes in sea surface temperature (SST) on hurricane wind and storm surge hazards for the Atlantic and Gulf coast regions. An empirical track model that uses SST as an input is used to account for the effect of temperature variations on hurricane intensity. The storm surge hazard is modeled using Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH). Four projected future climate conditions based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission scenarios are adopted to capture the effect of changes in SST on future hurricane intensity. The impacts of changes in hurricane frequency and sea-level rise are also considered. The results show that the projected increase in the average SST will lead to more intense hurricanes by the end of the twenty-first century. An increase in wind speed for all the studied sites with varying degrees is observed. The most significant increase in wind speeds is observed on the northeast Atlantic coast, with some areas showing an increase of more than 60% for high return period winds under the most extreme future climate scenario. This is because a higher increase in SST is observed in such areas, which will lead to more intense hurricanes in the future. An increasing trend is also observed for the storm surge for all the study sites in the future. However, the largest increase in predicted surge heights is mainly seen in the Gulf Coast locations.

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Selection of hazard-consistent hurricane scenarios for regional combined hurricane wind and flood loss estimation

Cited by 5 publications

References 18 publications

Regional climate change adaptation planning: a case study on single-story wooden-frame residential buildings vulnerable to hurricane winds in selected US coastal locations

Regional climate change adaptation planning: a case study on single-story wooden-frame residential buildings vulnerable to hurricane winds in selected US coastal locations

Modeling the economic impact of incoming tropical cyclones using machine learning

Impact of changes in sea surface temperature due to climate change on hurricane wind and storm surge hazards across US Atlantic and Gulf coast regions

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