Seismicity modulation due to hydrological loading in a stable continental region: a case study from the Jektvik swarm sequence in Northern Norway

Abstract

Seismic swarms have been observed for more than 40 years along the coast of Nordland, Northern Norway. However, the detailed spatio-temporal evolution and mechanisms of these swarms have not yet been resolved due to the historically sparse seismic station coverage. An increased number of seismic stations now allows us to study a nearly decade-long swarm sequence in the Jektvik area during the 2013-2021 time window. Our analysis resolves four major groups of events, each consisting of several spatial clusters, that have distinct spatial and temporal patterns. Computed focal mechanism solutions are predominantly normal with NNE-SSW strike direction reflecting a near-vertical maximum principal stress and a NW-SE near-horizontal minimum principal stress, which are controlled by local NW-SE extension. We attribute the swarm sequence to fluid-saturated fracture zones that are reactivated due to this local extension. Over the time period, the activity tends to increase between February and May, which coincides with the late winter and beginning of spring time in Norway. We hypothesize that the seismicity is modulated seasonally by hydrological loading from snow accumulation. This transient hydrological load results in elastic deformation that is observed at local GNSS stations. The loading is shown to promote failure in a critically stressed normal faulting system. Once a segment is activated, it can then also trigger neighboring segments via stress transfer. Our new results point to a close link between lithosphere and hydrosphere contributing to the occurrence of seismic swarm activity in northern Norway.