Relocation of earthquakes recorded by the agency for meteorology, climatology and geophysics (BMKG) in Indonesia and inversions of global positioning system (GPS) data reveal clear seismic gaps to the south of the island of Java. These gaps may be related to potential sources of future megathrust earthquakes in the region. To assess the expected inundation hazard, tsunami modeling was conducted based on several scenarios involving large tsunamigenic earthquakes generated by ruptures along segments of the megathrust south of Java. The worst-case scenario, in which the two megathrust segments spanning Java rupture simultaneously, shows that tsunami heights can reach ~ 20 m and ~ 12 m on the south coast of West and East Java, respectively, with an average maximum height of 4.5 m along the entire south coast of Java. These results support recent calls for a strengthening of the existing Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System (InaTEWS), especially in Java, the most densely populated island in Indonesia.
SUMMARY High seismicity rates in eastern Indonesia occur due to the complex interaction of several tectonic plates which resulted in two deadly, destructive earthquake sequences that occurred in Lombok Island and the city of Palu, Sulawesi in 2018. The first sequence began in July with an Mw 6.4 event near Lombok, culminating in an Mw 7.0 event 8 d later. This was then followed by a nearby Mw 6.9 event 12 d later. Approximately 1000 km to the northeast, a separate sequence began several weeks later near Palu where an Mw 7.5 event occurred that triggered a tsunami. In this study, we present hypocentre relocations for both earthquake sequences as well as all other regional earthquakes in eastern Indonesia. The relocations were performed using a teleseismic double-difference relocation method and arrival times for P and S waves from stations at local, regional, and teleseismic distances. The catalogue and phase data were taken from the Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) of Indonesia and the International Seismological Centre (ISC) for the period of April 2009 through November 2018. The relocated catalogue provides an improved view of seismicity in eastern Indonesia over the study period, sharpening locations and interpretations of seismogenic features throughout the region. In the Lombok area, the relocated earthquakes clearly show a backarc thrust to the north of the Sunda-Banda Arc transition zone. The relocated aftershocks show that the destructive Mw 7.0 and Mw 6.9 earthquakes of the Lombok sequence ruptured two different regions: The Mw 7.0 earthquake propagated westward, whereas the Mw 6.9 earthquake propagated eastward. The entire sequence of Lombok earthquakes was most likely started by the Mw 6.4 event as the initial event or foreshock, which then triggered backarc thrusts on both sides. Several weeks later and far to the northeast, the Mw 7.5 Palu earthquake occurred along the Palu-Koro Fault, filling a seismic gap that had not ruptured in an Mw 6.0 event or larger since at least 1900. The distribution of aftershocks indicates that the northern part of the Palu-Koro Fault has lower relative seismicity rates than the southern part at shallow depths, and that off fault aftershocks are mostly located to the east of the Palu-Koro Fault.
Summary The Nordland region, Northern Norway, situated in an intraplate continental setting, has the highest seismicity rate in mainland Norway. However, the exact cause of seismicity in this region is still debated. Better understanding of factors that influence the seismicity in Nordland can help increase knowledge of intraplate seismicity in general. Here, we address this problem with the aid of a new high-resolution 3-D VP and VP/VS ratio images of the crust in Nordland using seismic travel-time tomography. These images show the existence of a localized, 10 - 15 km Moho step that runs parallel to the coast. The north-south extent of this step coincides with the region that exhibits the highest rates of seismicity. Focal mechanisms of selected earthquakes computed in this study are dominated by normal and oblique-normal, indicating a coast-perpendicular extension. The coast-perpendicular extensional stress regime deviates from the regional compression imposed by the ridge push from the North Atlantic. This deviation is thought to stem from the additional interference with local flexural stress caused by sediment redistribution and glacial isostatic adjustment, and possibly exacerbated by gravitational potential energy stress associated with the Moho step. The deformation due to the extensional regime is localized on pre-existing faults and fractures along the coastline. The tomography result shows that two distinct seismic swarms occurred in the coastal area with low VP and variable VP/VS ratio anomalies, pointing towards fractured crust and possibly the presence of fluids. The existence of fluids here can change the differential stress and promote seismic rupture.
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