the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic had claimed >6.4 million human lives globally, >1 million in the United States, and >70,000 in New York state (1). Virus evolution and adaptation have been observed in persistently infected immunocompromised persons (2) and animal reservoirs (3,4), leading to the potential for new, highly adapted variants.Novel variants of SARS-CoV-2 have shown increased rates of transmission and immune evasion (5,6). In particular, Omicron has evolved a suite of unique mutations, which have greatly increased its infectiousness (7), increased its ability to evade current vaccines (5,6), and decreased the effectiveness of convalescent plasma transfusions and monoclonal antibody treatments (8,9). To a lesser degree, the Delta variant showed some of these same patterns of increased infectiousness (10) and potential for immune evasion compared with earlier strains that preceded Delta (11).Prior literature has also shown differences in vaccine effectiveness for SARS-CoV-2 lineages associated with variation in vaccine type, time since vaccination, and patient age. Before emergence of the Delta and Omicron variants, data showed reduced neutralizing antibody protection for the Janssen vaccine (Johnson & Johnson, https://www.jnj.com) compared with the Pfizer (Pfizer-BioNTech, https://www.pfizer.com) and Moderna (https://www.modernatx.com) vaccines (12) and slightly stronger protection for Moderna compared with Pfizer vaccines ( 12). An effect of time since vaccination has been demonstrated for the Delta variant (11). Younger persons were found to be more likely to be infected with Omicron (13,14).To test the associations between vaccination status, vaccine type, and time since vaccination with lineage identity during the emergence of new variants of SARS-CoV-2, we conducted a matched case-control study. We performed analyses for the emergence of the Omicron and Delta variants in New York, USA. The study was waived by the New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH) Institutional Review Board for Human Subjects Research review.
Methods
Data Analysis
Omicron Emergence AnalysisWe analyzed emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant from November 28, 2021, through January 24, 2022 (Figure 1). We matched persons infected with Omicron (case-patients) to persons infected with any other virus lineage (controls). Case-patients (n = 1,439) included infection with B.1.1.529 and all BA