Risk Evaluation in Manufacturing Organization Tasks for Product Technological Projects and Establishment of Project Portfolio for Production Systems

Abstract

This paper broadly outlines the task of evaluating the risks associated with planning when tackling the issues of choice and planning in productive-and-economic systems to implement the projects resulting from the application of criteria-based approaches, as well as the task of evaluating production risks.

The Risk Assessment Method in Prognostic Models of Production Systems Management with Account of the Time Factor

“…The sales forecast itself already presents valuable information that enables to identify seasonality and factors that indirectly indicate misuse or theft (e.g., increased consumption with stable demand), etc. When working with the forecasting data (to assess their reliability), we will use the risk assessment value (Mylnikov, 2016). The risk assessment is calculated on the basis of a certain number of factors that affect the risk: ,…”

The Management of Innovation Projects' Implementation in Production-and-Economic Systems: The Use of Prognostic Models for the Risk Metrics of Obtained Decisions

“…Based on the membership function that already encompasses potential risky events affecting each of the margins, the margin of risk metrics is calculated [8] for the examined parameter value:…”

“…In periodicals we can find approaches to measure risks for a solution itself or a prognostic function [8].…”