Risk Analysis of Offshore Oil Development Projects: A Case Study

Abstract

Development of offshore oil production projects entails a huge capital outlay. The various aspects of the project are filled with uncertainties. If these are not considered correctly, an initially attractive venture can become uneconomic. It is thus necessary to carry out analyses that can identify and quantify the inherent risks of the project so that they can be mitigated as much as possible. This work presents a method of quantitative risk analysis that can serve as a basis for decisions regarding projects of this nature. We use a case study to exemplify the proposed risk analysis methodology.