Risk Analysis in Land Development

Abstract

Land development poses a different set of risks from income-producing property. This paper explores the nature of land development risk with particular reference to large-scale subdivision development. Because several major variables in land development analysis are correlated, meaningful risk analysis requires that intercorrelation be explicitly recognized and incorporated into simulations. A case study is presented which demonstrates the application of risk analysis to land development and the handling of intercorrelation among random variables. Copyright American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association.

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