Resolving a historical earthquake date at Tel Yavneh (central Israel) using pollen seasonality

Langgut, Dafna; Yannai, Eli; Taxel, Itamar; Agnon, Amotz; Marco, Shmuel

doi:10.1080/01916122.2015.1035405

Cited by 11 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…The earthquake has been associated with the destruction of the Monastery of Euthymius 10 km east of Jerusalem, but no damage in the town of Jerusalem has been unequivocally reported (Ambraseys, 2009). In Belferman et al (2018) we in-cluded this event in the catalog of Dead Sea earthquakes, as Langgut et al (2015) have located it in the center of the Jordan Valley segment of the transform (Fig. A1).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia

Belferman

Agnon

Katsman

et al. 2022

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Studies of seismicity induced by water level changes in reservoirs and lakes focus typically on well-documented contemporary records. Can such interactions be explored on a historical timescale when the two data types suffer from severe uncertainties stemming from the different nature of the data, methods and resolution? In this study, we show a way to considerably improve the correlation between interpolated records of historical Dead Sea level reconstructions and discrete seismicity patterns in the area, over the period of the past 2 millennia. Inspired by the results of our previous study, we carefully revise the historical earthquake catalog in the Dead Sea to exclude remote earthquakes and include small local events. For addressing the uncertainties in lake levels, we generate an ensemble of random interpolations of water level curves and rank them by correlation with the historical records of seismic stress release. We compute a synthetic catalog of earthquakes, applying a Mohr–Coulomb failure criterion. The critical state of stress at hypocentral depths is achieved by static poroelastic deformations incorporating the change in effective normal stress (due to the best-fit water level curve) superimposed on the regional strike-slip tectonic deformations. The earthquakes of this synthetic catalog show an impressive agreement with historical earthquakes documented to have damaged Jerusalem. We refine the seismic catalog by searching for small local events that toppled houses in Jerusalem; including all local events improves the correlation with lake levels. We demonstrate for the first time a high correlation between water level changes and the recorded recurrence intervals of historical earthquakes.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia

Belferman

Agnon

Katsman

et al. 2022

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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“…Reconstruction of seasonality by means of botanical remains (e.g. seeds, fruits and pollen) has been posited for several ancient sites in the Southern Levant (Kislev 1992;Langgut et al 2016;Dunseth et al 2019). At Tell Iẓ ṭ abba, only 18 of the 63 wild plant taxa present could be identified to species level (see supplementary file 1 in Orendi et al 2021).…”

Section: The Season Of Destructionmentioning

confidence: 99%

For everything there is a season: more than a year of destruction at Seleucid Tell Iẓṭabba (Israel)

et al. 2022

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“…The sources of most of these events were likely in the Jordan Valley-Dead Sea sector of the fault system (Fig. 1) (Agnon, 2014;Lefevre et al, 2018).…”

Section: Earthquake Hazard In Jerusalemmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The research team conducted 31 in-depth, semi-structured interviews based on an interview guide (qualitative questionnaire), without strictly adhering to it (Supplement 2). The semi-structured interviews allowed us the flexibility and interactivity of qualitative research, while simultaneously facilitating a greater degree of standardization than more open "field" interviews (Kelly, 2010). The interviewees consisted of 16 relevant national-level policy and decision makers (e.g., from the Home Front Command, Ministry of Health, Ministry of Education, National Steering Committee for Earthquake Preparedness), 10 officials in rescue organizations, and 5 religious leaders and key figures in the ultra-Orthodox community.…”

Section: In-depth Interviews and Focus Groupsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Earthquake preparedness among religious minority groups: the case of the Jewish ultra-Orthodox society in Israel

Orr

Erblich

Unger

et al. 2021

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. To work effectively, emergency management systems that deal with earthquake threats must consider the needs of religious minority groups. Studies regarding earthquake preparedness among marginalized social–cultural groups can highlight ways to improve it. Recently, some research has focused on the effect of religion on earthquake preparedness. However, very few studies have connected the two and examined earthquake preparedness among religious groups that are also a social–cultural minority in relation to the authorities. This study examines the effects of religious beliefs and customs on earthquake preparedness among the Jewish ultra-Orthodox community in Israel, a significant religious minority with unique social, cultural, and economic characteristics. Data were obtained using mixed methods including a survey, in-depth interviews, and focus groups. Results demonstrated that the majority of the community had a low level of hazard knowledge and a high level of disbelief that a devastating earthquake would occur in their area in the near future. This is despite a long-documented history of earthquakes that devastated the Levant and, in particular, dwelling locations for this community. Low exposure to media, insularity of educational institutions, and suspicion toward state authorities were shown to hinder preparedness, while strong social capital improved it. This research is unique for it studies a religious group that is also a cultural minority, which, therefore, requires special adaptations. Some of the recommended adaptations include receiving support from religious leaders, publishing preparation guidelines in proper settings, working with civilian organizations that are seen as legitimate by the religious communities, and adapting technologies and information to be religiously appropriate. To conclude, this research offers a perspective on the complex reality of hazard preparedness in a religiously diverse country. The conclusions are applicable to other countries and natural hazards.

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Resolving a historical earthquake date at Tel Yavneh (central Israel) using pollen seasonality

Cited by 11 publications

References 38 publications

Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia

Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia

For everything there is a season: more than a year of destruction at Seleucid Tell Iẓṭabba (Israel)

Earthquake preparedness among religious minority groups: the case of the Jewish ultra-Orthodox society in Israel

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