Relationship between Climate Variables and New Daily COVID-19 Cases in Dhaka, Bangladesh

Mofijur, M.; Fattah, Islam Md Rizwanul; Islam, A. B. M. Saiful; Rahman, Md. Saifur; Chowdhury, Mohammad Asaduzzaman

doi:10.20944/preprints202007.0699.v1

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 17 publications

(27 reference statements)

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“…Our results project a seasonal rhythm of SARS-CoV-2 that is broadly similar to the trends observed among many major human-infecting respiratory viruses [59][60][61] . This well-known seasonal trend toward greater respiratory incidence in the winter has been ascribed to a number of factors: temperature 18,[62][63][64] , humidity [65][66][67][68] , solar ultraviolet radiation 69 , and host behavior 70 . This trend is typically considered to be muted in the tropics, and reversed in the Southern Hemisphere 61,71 .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projecting the seasonality of endemic COVID-19

Townsend

Lamb

Hassler

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Successive waves of infection by SARS-CoV-2 have left little doubt that this virus will transition to an endemic disease 1,2. Projections of the endemic seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 transmission are crucial to informed public health policy 3. Such projections are not only essential to well-timed interventions and the preparation of healthcare systems for synchronous surges with other respiratory viruses 4, but also to the elimination of seasonality as a confounder in the identification of surges that are occurring due to viral evolution, changes in host immunity, or other non-seasonal factors. However, the less than two-year duration of SARS-CoV-2 circulation, pandemic dynamics, and heterogeneous implementation of interventions have grievously complicated evaluations of its seasonality 5. Here we estimate the impending endemic seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 in global population centers via a novel phylogenetic ancestral and descendent states approach 6 that leverages long-term data on the incidence of circulating coronaviruses. Our results validate a major concern that endemic COVID-19 will typically surge coincident with other high-morbidity and -mortality respiratory virus infections such as influenza and RSV 7. In temperate locales in the Northern Hemisphere, we identify spatiotemporal surges of incidences that range from October through January in New York to January through March in Yamagata, Japan. This knowledge of likely spatiotemporal surges of COVID-19 is fundamental to optimal timing of public health interventions that anticipate the impending endemicity of this disease and mitigate SARS-CoV-2 transmission.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projecting the seasonality of endemic COVID-19

Townsend

Lamb

Hassler

et al. 2022

Preprint

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“…e drop in reported infection is perhaps due to measures adopted by the Malaysian authorities, during which quarantining and public lockdown were enforced, leading to the declaration of movement control order (MCO). As of 31 August 2020, there was no new infection and cumulative infection was 2,587. e relatively large number of COVID-19 cases in Kuala Lumpur, being the main economic hub for investors, job seekers, and tourists, is to be expected due to its dense human population [17,29] among other factors like weather.…”

Section: Descriptive Analysis Of Covid-19 Cases and Weathermentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Location-Specific Meteorological Factors on COVID-19 Daily Infection in a Tropical Climate: A Case of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Makama

Lim

2021

Advances in Meteorology

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Insufficient information on the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has made it more difficult for the world to tackle its continuous implosion. Meteorological and environmental factors, in both laboratory and epidemiological studies, have been reported to affect the survival and transmission of the virus. In this study, the possible effects of location-specific meteorological parameters in a tropical climate on new daily COVID-19 infection (NDI) are investigated in Kuala Lumpur from 14 March 2020 to 31 August 2020. A generalized additive model (GAM) was imposed on ambient temperature (T) and absolute humidity (AH) to explore their nonlinear relationship with NDI. Piecewise linear regression was then used to further discern the relationships below and above the threshold values of both T and AH. The relationship between T and NDI, which was linear and statistically significant for T > 29.7°C, showed that each unit rise in temperature increases NDI by about 3.210% (CI: 1.372–7.976). AH had a more pronounced linear association with NDI for AH ≤ 22.6 g/m3 but tended to flatten the exposure-response curve above this value. A 1 g/m3 increase in AH increases NDI by 3.807% (CI: 2.064–5.732). Generally, the results indicated a positive association between T and NDI, particularly above 29.7°C, while the association with AH showed a stronger positive relationship below 22.6 g/m3. The implication of this is that COVID-19 could not be suppressed on account of warmer weather as such public health interventions remain imperative.

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“…Much health degrading issues can arrive due to noise pollution including low to extreme level of stress, mental discomfort, rise of blood pressure as well as heart rates. Every single source of noise contamination at present are because of some type of humanoid actions, from traffic to residential or industrial and many more [82].…”

Section: Covid-19 and Other Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…•Thus, there is no scientific reason to confirm that the number of COVID-19 cases in warmer climates is less than that of moderate or cold climates. [82] To provide expedient information to the policymaker, which can help to lower the COVID-19 infection rate.…”

Section: Iranmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Comprehensive Review on Environmental Factors Influencing COVID-19 Spread and Its Effects: A Global Approach

Karim¹,

Chowdhury²,

Rafi³

2021

EESRJ

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The pandemic caused by COVID-19 that is plaguing the whole world at this point is currently a major threat on global health. However, similar to many other respiratory disease outbreaks in the past, this virus also has environmental implications, with its spread being substantially affected by the environmental conditions of a locality. Also, the lockdown measure undertaken as a protective measure against the spread of the disease is affecting the global environment. There have been numerous studies around the world to find the correlation between transmission and severity Coronavirus related disease and mortality with environmental parameters. These parameters included temperature, air pollution, climate factors, humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure and many more with COVID-19 outbreak. It was found that meteorological factors may show an independent part in the spread of COVID-19. Considering the other side of the coin, the world prior to this Coronavirus outbreak was facing air pollution, global warming, sound pollution and many more environmental adversities. However, since the beginning of the lockdown period a major change has been noticed in terms of various environmental parameters that measure the quality of the environment around the globe. This study is an attempt to conduct a comparative study on the correlation amid environmental influences and the COVID-19 outbreak around the world.

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Relationship between Climate Variables and New Daily COVID-19 Cases in Dhaka, Bangladesh

Cited by 4 publications

References 17 publications

Projecting the seasonality of endemic COVID-19

Projecting the seasonality of endemic COVID-19

Effects of Location-Specific Meteorological Factors on COVID-19 Daily Infection in a Tropical Climate: A Case of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

A Comprehensive Review on Environmental Factors Influencing COVID-19 Spread and Its Effects: A Global Approach

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