Abstract-Elevated plasma fibrinogen is implicated in cardiovascular disease. However, it is not clear whether fibrinogen levels predict the development of hypertension. We examined the relationship between plasma fibrinogen level and hypertension in a population-based cohort study of 3654 participants (mean age: 61.5 years; range: 49 to 84 years) at the baseline examination (1992)(1993)(1994) in the Blue Mountains region, west of Sydney, Australia, who were examined 5 years (1997)(1998)(1999) later. Main outcomes of interest were prevalent hypertension (systolic blood pressure Ն140 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure Ն90 mm Hg, or a combination of self-reported hypertension diagnosis and use of antihypertensive medications) at baseline (nϭ2212/3180) and 5-year incidence of hypertension among baseline normotensive individuals (nϭ361/637). Elevated plasma fibrinogen level was positively associated with prevalent hypertension both among men and women and positively associated with 5-year incident hypertension among men, independent of several cardiovascular risk factors. Multivariable odds ratio (95% CI) of 5-year incident hypertension comparing tertile 3 of plasma fibrinogen (Ն3.9 g/L) with tertile 1 (Յ3.2 g/L) was 1.95 (1.03 to 3.68; P trendϭ0.040). This prospective association, however, was not observed in women (odds ratio; 95% CI) comparing tertile 3 versus tertile 1 of plasma fibrinogen (1.00; 0.54 to 1.86; P trendϭ0.986). Subgroup analyses stratified by smoking, body mass index, diabetes, and blood pressure categories supported this male gender-specific pattern of association. These data provide prospective epidemiological evidence of an essential link between plasma fibrinogen level and incident hypertension among men but not among women, a finding consistent with that observed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. A cross several studies, plasma fibrinogen is a consistent predictor of cardiovascular disease, 1-3 subclinical atherosclerosis, 4 -6 peripheral vascular disease, 7 and decreased survival. 3 Several 8 -17 but not all 18 -23 previous cross-sectional epidemiological studies reported a positive association between plasma fibrinogen level and elevated blood pressure and/or prevalent hypertension. In contrast, the only prospective study available on this topic by Folsom et al 24 reported that plasma fibrinogen level predicted 6-year incident hypertension among middle-aged men only, but not women, in the biracial Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study. The prospective association between plasma fibrinogen level and incident hypertension is still not clear, particularly by gender. In this report, we examined the association between plasma fibrinogen level and 5-year incident hypertension among men and women in an older Australian population, after adjusting for smoking, alcohol intake, body mass index (BMI), and other cardiovascular risk factors.
MethodsThe Blue Mountains Eye Study (BMES) is a population-based cohort study of age-related eye diseases and other health outcomes in an old...