Reductions in Mortality at Advanced Ages: Several Decades of Evidence from 27 Countries

Kannisto,; Lauritsen, Jens; Ar, Thatcher; Vaupel, James W.

doi:10.2307/2137662

Cited by 281 publications

(208 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…According to pooled data from 13 countries included in the Kannisto-Thatcher database, mortality amongst centenarians improved by about 0.5% per year from the 1960s to the 1980s [9]. In Japan, a strong decline in mortality was observed [10].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The era of centenarians: mortality of the oldest old in Sweden

Drefahl

Lundström

Modig

et al. 2012

Journal of Internal Medicine

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The era of centenarians: mortality of the oldest old in Sweden

Drefahl

Lundström

Modig

et al. 2012

Journal of Internal Medicine

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“…Collecting and using high-quality empirical data, Vaupel and colleagues present evidence indicating that the limited life span paradigm as proposed by Fries is wrong (Kannisto 1988(Kannisto , 1994(Kannisto , 1996Kannisto et al 1994) future of life expectancy are heavily based on evidence derived from available empirical data on past trends in mortality.…”

Section: Optimistic View: Tmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Kannisto 1994;Kannisto et al 1994). Recent data illustrate that these trends have continued in many countries, although the pace of decrease varies (Rau et al 2008).…”

Section: Optimistic View: Tmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Mortality in Low Mortality Countries

Caselli¹,

Drefhal²,

Wegner-Siegmundt³

et al. 2014

World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in Future Mortality in Low-Mortality Countries AbstractThis paper provides an overview of past and expected future trends in life expectancy in experienced strong decreases in infant mortality, the future mortality trends will be driven mainly by mortality among the old and oldest-old. The paper gathers empirical background data and theoretical considerations about past and likely future determinants of mortality including smoking, obesity, biomedical progress, environmental changes and socioeconomic conditions. Based on this knowledge an internet expert survey and a metaexperts meeting were carried out to formulate expert-based assumptions for future trends in s indicate that that the positive influences on human mortality and life expectancy will likely outweigh the negative risk factors and lead to further increases of life expectancy. Moreover, the paper concludes that the differences between countries are likely to narrow further in the future.

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“…Due to the decreased mortality in people over 80 (Kannisto 1994a;Kannisto et al 1994), life expectancy dramatically increased in Europe (Vaupel 1997(Vaupel , 2010Leon 2011) since about 1950, leading to a progressive raise of the oldest old (i.e. octogenarians, nonagenarians and centenarians).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Health status and 6 years survival of 552 90+ Italian sib-ships recruited within the EU Project GEHA (GEnetics of Healthy Ageing)

Cevenini¹,

Cotichini²,

Stazi³

et al. 2013

AGE

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In a scenario of increasing life expectancy worldwide, it is mandatory to identify the characteristics of a healthy aging phenotype, including survival predictors, and to disentangle those related to environment/ lifestyle versus those related to familiarity/genetics. To this aim we comprehensively characterised a cohort of 1,160 Italian subjects of 90 years and over (90+, mean age 93 years; age range 90-106 years) followed for 6 years survival, belonging to 552 sib-ships (familiar longevity) recruited (2005)(2006)(2007)(2008) within the EU-funded GEHA project in three Italian geographic areas (Northern, Central and Southern Italy) different for urban/rural and socio-economical characteristics. On the whole, the following factors emerged as significant predictors of survival after 90 years of age: absence of cognitive impairment and physical disability, high hand grip strength scores and body mass index (BMI) values, "excellent/good" self-reported health, high haemoglobin and total cholesterol levels and low creatinine levels. These parameters, excluding BMI values, were also significantly associated within sib-ships, suggesting a strong familial/genetic component. Geographical micro-heterogeneity of survival predictors emerged, such as functional and physical status being more important in Southern than in Central and Northern Italy. In conclusion, we identified modifiable survival predictors related to specific domains, whose role and importance vary according to the geographic area considered and which can help in interpreting the genetic results obtained by the GEHA project, whose major aim is the comprehensive evaluation of phenotypic and genetic data.

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Reductions in Mortality at Advanced Ages: Several Decades of Evidence from 27 Countries

Cited by 281 publications

References 30 publications

The era of centenarians: mortality of the oldest old in Sweden

The era of centenarians: mortality of the oldest old in Sweden

Future Mortality in Low Mortality Countries

Health status and 6 years survival of 552 90+ Italian sib-ships recruited within the EU Project GEHA (GEnetics of Healthy Ageing)

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