Reassessing the Links between GHG Emissions, Economic Growth, and the UNFCCC: A Difference-in-Differences Approach

Cifci, Eren; Oliver, Matthew E.

doi:10.3390/su10020334

Cited by 26 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…2 para. 1 PA is neglected will be sketched here in short, as it has been elaborated elsewhere [3,55,57,72,76,[86][87][88]. The temperature limit of Art.…”

Section: Discussion and Concluding Remarks: The Paris Objective And Cmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Following a two degrees pathway will not only lead to higher budgets, but also to underestimating the extent of the challenge: zero emissions within a short period of time. The longstanding discourse on the compatibility of economic growth and environmental protection for instance widely ignores this by not choosing the required level of ambition (in detail, see [3,[54][55][56]; not discussed by [57]; on costs, see also [58]).…”

Section: Lack Of Clarity In the Data: On Base Year Certainties Climmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Paris Agreement, Precautionary Principle and Human Rights: Zero Emissions in Two Decades?

2018

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The Paris Agreement of December 2015 is subject to much criticism of being inadequate. This however neglects its very ambitious objective, which limits legally-binding global warming to 1.5 to 1.8 degrees in comparison to pre-industrial levels. This article shows, based on the overlap of unanswered questions for prognoses in natural science and the legal precautionary principle, that this objective indicates a legal imperative towards zero emissions globally within a short timeframe. Furthermore, it becomes apparent that policies need to be focused on achieving the 1.5-degree temperature limit. From a legal standpoint with regard to existential matters, only those policies are justified that are fit to contribute to reaching the temperature limit with high certainty, without overshoot, without leaving the 1.5 limit aside and without geoengineering measures, in contrast to the tendencies of the IPCC. This creates a big challenge even for the alleged forerunners of climate policies, Germany and the EU; because, according to the objective, the EU and Germany have to raise the level of ambition in their climate policies rapidly and drastically.

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“…2 para. 1 PA is neglected will be sketched here in short, as it has been elaborated elsewhere [3,55,57,72,76,[86][87][88]. The temperature limit of Art.…”

Section: Discussion and Concluding Remarks: The Paris Objective And Cmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Lack Of Clarity In the Data: On Base Year Certainties Climmentioning

confidence: 99%

Paris Agreement, Precautionary Principle and Human Rights: Zero Emissions in Two Decades?

2018

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“…Among other findings, increased emissions of greenhouse gases were found to have had a negative influence on economic growth in the European Union countries. On the contrary, Cifci and Oliver (2018) observed that the reduction in GGE was associated with a decline in economic growth, possibly because of the heavy financial burden involved. Nordhaus (1991) also consented that GGE cause global warming, whose negative consequences on economic growth could be dire.…”

Section: Influence Of Carbon or Gge On Economi̇c Growth-empi̇ri̇cal Vi̇ewmentioning

confidence: 95%

Untitled

2018

IJEEP

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The study had two major objectives. Firstly, to investigate the influence of greenhouse gas emissions (GGE) on economic growth. Secondly, to find out if the interaction between GGE and financial development enhanced economic growth in Southern and Western African nations. Four econometric estimation methods, namely dynamic generalized methods of moments (GMM), pooled ordinary least squares (OLS), fixed and random effects were used with annual data ranging from 2001 to 2012. The impact of GGEs on economic growth was found to be non-significant positive (pooled OLS), non-significant negative (fixed and random effects) and significant positive (dynamic GMM). The interaction between GGEs and financial development was found to have had a significant positive effect on economic growth under the dynamic GMM, fixed and random effects. The non-significant positive influence of GGEs on economic growth is a finding produced by the pooled OLS regression approach.

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“…Attempting to account for the future of human development adds another layer of uncertainty. This uncertainty includes both the perspectives of economic and population growth and the changes brought about by political action, which directly or indirectly have an impact on the climate [43][44][45].…”

Section: The Ipcc Climate Scenarios and Modellingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Human Rights and Precautionary Principle: Limits to Geoengineering, SRM, and IPCC Scenarios

Wieding¹,

Stubenrauch

Ekardt

2020

Sustainability

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: Most scenarios on instruments limiting global warming in line with the 1.5 °C temperature limit of the Paris Agreement rely on overshooting the emissions threshold, thus requiring the application of negative emission technologies later on. Subsequently, the debate on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and solar radiation management (SRM) (frequently subsumed under “geoengineering”) has been reinforced. Yet, it does not determine normatively whether those are legally valid approaches to climate protection. After taking a closer look at the scope of climate scenarios and SRM methods compiling current research and opinions on SRM, this paper analyses the feasibility of geoengineering and of SRM in particular under international law. It will be shown that from the perspective of human rights, the Paris Agreement, and precautionary principle the phasing-out of fossil fuels and the reduction in consumption of livestock products as well as nature-based approaches such as sustainable—and thus climate and biodiversity-smart—forest, peatland, and agricultural management strongly prevail before geoengineering and atmospheric SRM measures in particular. However, as all of the atmospheric SRM methods are in their development phase, governance options to effectively frame further exploration of SRM technologies are proposed, maintaining that respective technologies thus far are not a viable means of climate protection.

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Reassessing the Links between GHG Emissions, Economic Growth, and the UNFCCC: A Difference-in-Differences Approach

Cited by 26 publications

References 56 publications

Paris Agreement, Precautionary Principle and Human Rights: Zero Emissions in Two Decades?

Paris Agreement, Precautionary Principle and Human Rights: Zero Emissions in Two Decades?

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Human Rights and Precautionary Principle: Limits to Geoengineering, SRM, and IPCC Scenarios

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