2015
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-1289-2015
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Rainfall and land use empirically coupled to forecast landslides in the Esino river basin, central Italy

Abstract: Abstract.A coupled empirical approach to highlight relationships between rainfall, vegetation segmentation, and landslide occurrence is discussed. To reveal such links, two important rainfall events, which occurred over the Esino river basin in central Italy in November 2013 and May 2014, were analysed. The correlation between rainfall and landslides was evaluated by applying an intensity-duration (ID) threshold method, whereas the correlation between vegetation segmentation and landslides was investigated usi… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…LULCCs occur over a relatively short period, in addition to more long-term landslidecontrolling factors related to lithology, geological structure, geomorphology and soils (Persichillo et al, 2016;Pisano et al, 2016). Thus, LULCCs can be considered both as a conditioning as well as a triggering factor for the occurrence of mass movements (Gariano et al, 2018;Gioia et al, 2015;Promper et al, 2014;Vanacker et al, 2003), especially for rainfall-induced shallow landslides (Beguería, 2006;Cevasco et al, 2014;Chen and Huang, 2013;Glade, 2003;Malek et al, 2015;Persichillo et al, 2017Persichillo et al, , 2016Pisano et al, 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…LULCCs occur over a relatively short period, in addition to more long-term landslidecontrolling factors related to lithology, geological structure, geomorphology and soils (Persichillo et al, 2016;Pisano et al, 2016). Thus, LULCCs can be considered both as a conditioning as well as a triggering factor for the occurrence of mass movements (Gariano et al, 2018;Gioia et al, 2015;Promper et al, 2014;Vanacker et al, 2003), especially for rainfall-induced shallow landslides (Beguería, 2006;Cevasco et al, 2014;Chen and Huang, 2013;Glade, 2003;Malek et al, 2015;Persichillo et al, 2017Persichillo et al, , 2016Pisano et al, 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In order to perform forecasting analyses, a complete risk assessment has to be carried out to evaluate cost/benefit ratio of pre-event actions; more refined models recently proposed by some authors (Bordoni et al, 2015;Gioia et al, 2015) would be recommended to improve both spatial and temporal prediction of landslides and induced damages on slope and large scales. However, the adoption of more refined tools could affect the costs of landslide prevention assessment; therefore, a cost/benefit analysis is always a primary crucial step before choosing between the numerous investigation methods proposed in the scientific literature (Dai et al, 2002, and references therein;Guzzetti et al, 2005a), which often lead to very similar results (Othman et al, 2015) depending mainly on site characteristics and available data .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this work we performed quite simple analyses, which considered landslides occurred in the past (before and during the 2010 rainfall event), to point out possible benefits from landslide prevention on different scales. In order to perform forecasting analyses, a complete risk assessment has to be carried out to evaluate cost/benefit ratio of pre-event actions; more refined models recently proposed by some authors (Bordoni et al, 2015;Gioia et al, 2015) would be recommended to improve both spatial and temporal prediction of landslides and induced damages on slope and large scales. However, the adoption of more refined tools could affect the costs of landslide prevention assessment; therefore, a cost/benefit analysis is always a primary crucial step before choosing between the numerous investigation methods proposed in the scientific literature (Dai et al, 2002, and references therein;Guzzetti et al, 2005a), which often lead to very similar results (Othman et al, 2015) depending mainly on site characteristics and available data (Lagomarsino et al, 2015).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%