2014
DOI: 10.1093/biosci/bit034
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Qualitative Dynamics of the Coffee Rust Epidemic: Educating Intuition with Theoretical Ecology

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Cited by 35 publications
(30 citation statements)
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“…A second shock of the same magnitude as in 2012 would have further deteriorated the productive output and social situation of those affected, which had already been seriously impacted. Although pesticides are known to be detrimental to the natural enemies of coffee rust, such as the fungus Lecanicillium lecanii (Staver et al 2001), these extreme actions were driven by the seriousness of the emergency, indicating that coffee rust management possibly needs to be rethought especially under the threat of progressive climate change (Vandermeer et al 2014). A state of emergency was declared in Costa Rica, Honduras and Guatemala, which allowed the Costa Rican coffee sector to access national funds to fight the disease: MAG (Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería) and ICAFE donated fungicides to smallholders worth USD 3.7 million.…”
Section: Immediate Responsesmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…A second shock of the same magnitude as in 2012 would have further deteriorated the productive output and social situation of those affected, which had already been seriously impacted. Although pesticides are known to be detrimental to the natural enemies of coffee rust, such as the fungus Lecanicillium lecanii (Staver et al 2001), these extreme actions were driven by the seriousness of the emergency, indicating that coffee rust management possibly needs to be rethought especially under the threat of progressive climate change (Vandermeer et al 2014). A state of emergency was declared in Costa Rica, Honduras and Guatemala, which allowed the Costa Rican coffee sector to access national funds to fight the disease: MAG (Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería) and ICAFE donated fungicides to smallholders worth USD 3.7 million.…”
Section: Immediate Responsesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Short-term responses must obviously be complemented with long term actions to prevent rather than cure, particularly under progressive climate change. A systems approach to manage this disease, and other pests and diseases, which have no clear genetic solution, is probably needed (Lewis et al 1997;McRoberts et al 2003;Vandermeer et al 2014). The goal should be to structure and manage coffee systems to maximize their preventive strengths, by enhancing multiple ecological control mechanisms (Avelino et al 2011).…”
Section: Developing Ecological Control Of Coffee Rustmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the recent epidemic of coffee rust ( H e m i l e i a v a s t a t r i x ) from Mexico to Peru has been particularly severe, with some reports anticipating a reduction in yield (40%-50%) over the entire region, which will potentially affect many coffee production nations in Latin America (Cressey, 2013). For example, Vandermeer, Jackson, and Perfecto (2014) reported that over 60% of the plants in an experimental plot in Mexico experienced >80% defoliation and nearly 9% died, and similar patterns have been reported anecdotally from across the region (Cressey, 2013).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 61%
“…The predatory and traitmediated interactions that cascade through different pathways from the fly to the coffee scale can ultimately lead to one of two attractors (local exuberant coffee scale colonies and local coffee scale extinction). The theoretical and empirical relations between coffee scale and rust dynamics are even more complex, and are explored in Vandermeer et al (2014) and McCook and Vandermeer (2015).…”
Section: The Azteca Autonomous Pest Management Networkmentioning
confidence: 99%