Public Acceptance of Covid-19 Lockdown Scenarios

Gollwitzer, Mario; Platzer, Christine; Zwarg, Clarissa; Göritz, Anja S.

doi:10.31234/osf.io/3a85z

“…Synchronized NPIs meant all countries implemented lockdowns at the same time, while unsynchronized NPIs meant half of all countries (randomly chosen for each simulation run) were under lockdown at any time. Cycling NPIs reflects the intermittent lockdowns that could occur if countries reinstate interventions after surpassing threshold numbers of new cases (25,26) various simulations where lockdown and non-lockdown periods were 3 or 4 weeks long over 2, 3, or 4 cycles in total. Across 1200 simulations, we found that synchronized cycles of NPIs were always more likely to end community transmission over 6 months, and generally lowered transmission further than if NPIs were unsynchronized (Fig.…”

Section: Modeling the Effect Of Synchronized Intermittent Npismentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe

Ruktanonchai

¹

,

Floyd

²

,

Lai

³

et al. 2020

Science

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As rates of new COVID-19 cases decline across Europe due to non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing policies and lockdown measures, countries require guidance on how to ease restrictions while minimizing the risk of resurgent outbreaks. Here, we use mobility and case data to quantify how coordinated exit strategies could delay continental resurgence and limit community transmission of COVID-19. We find that a resurgent continental epidemic could occur as many as 5 weeks earlier when well-connected countries with stringent existing interventions end their interventions prematurely. Further, we found that appropriate coordination can greatly improve the likelihood of eliminating community transmission throughout Europe. In particular, synchronizing intermittent lockdowns across Europe meant half as many lockdown periods were required to end community transmission continent-wide.

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“…Synchronized NPIs meant all countries implemented lockdowns at the same time, while unsynchronized NPIs meant half of all countries (randomly chosen for each simulation run) were under lockdown at any time. Cycling NPIs reflects the intermittent lockdowns that could occur if countries reinstate interventions after surpassing threshold numbers of new cases ( 25, 26 ). Therefore, this test helps predict what may happen if countries do not coordinate the easing and reinstating of NPIs based on regional rates of new cases.…”

Section: Figmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe

Ruktanonchai

¹

,

Floyd

²

,

Lai

³

et al. 2020

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

As rates of new COVID-19 cases decline across Europe due to non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing policies and lockdown measures, countries require guidance on how to ease restrictions while minimizing the risk of resurgent outbreaks. Here, we use mobility and case data to quantify how coordinated exit strategies could delay continental resurgence and limit community transmission of COVID-19. We find that a resurgent continental epidemic could occur as many as 5 weeks earlier when well-connected countries with stringent existing interventions end their interventions prematurely. Further, we found that appropriate coordination can greatly improve the likelihood of eliminating community transmission throughout Europe. In particular, synchronizing intermittent lockdowns across Europe meant half as many lockdown periods were required to end community transmission continent-wide.

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“…Public acceptance for flexible and adaptive preventive restrictions is also considerably high in Germany, just like citizens' readiness to co‐implement restrictive measures (Gollwitzer et al . 2020). Furthermore, ad hoc research with regard to the policy preferences of German citizens revealed that a “large‐scale pandemic can induce a substantial willingness to give up freedom for casualty prevention” (Tepe et al .…”

Section: Collective Crash Course: Prevention Policies During the Covid‐19 Pandemicmentioning

confidence: 99%

Citizenship as a Form of Anticipatory Obedience? Implications of Preventive Health Policy in Germany

Ewert

¹

2021

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This article scrutinizes citizenship implications in the field of preventive health policy in Germany. While at first glance prevention policies seem fairly uncontroversial, they have intricate links concerning the impact on preventive policies to social citizenship and to the notion of the “good” citizen. I argue that prevention is a future‐oriented permanent task that requires constant alertness and the commitment of responsible citizens to being “ahead of time.” Although originally based on the principles of voluntary compliance and self‐responsibility in Germany, preventive policies are likely to become more compulsory in the aftermath of the COVID‐19 pandemic that has, in effect, been a collective crash course on the importance of prevention and its range of policy tools. Under the prevention paradigm, active citizenship requires anticipatory action—that may turn into obedience—due to the imminent danger of assumed health risks. Related Articles in this Special Issue Barrault‐Stella, Lorenzo, and Thomas Douniès. 2021. “Introduction to the Special Issue: Citizenship as a Tool of Government in Europe.” Politics & Policy 49 (4). Haapajärvi, Linda. 2021. “On the Importance of Playing House: Belonging‐Work and the Making of Relational Citizens in Finnish Immigrant Integration Policies.” Politics & Policy 49 (4). Mioni, Michele. 2021. “The ‘Good Citizen’ as ‘Respectable Worker:' State, Unemployment, and Social Policy in the United Kingdom and Italy, 1930 to 1950.” Politics & Policy 49 (4).

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Public Acceptance of Covid-19 Lockdown Scenarios

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Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe

Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe

Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe

Citizenship as a Form of Anticipatory Obedience? Implications of Preventive Health Policy in Germany

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