Pseudo-cohort approach in the mortality analysis of the population of Serbia: Examples and problems

Radić, Nevena; Bakić, Damjan

doi:10.5937/demografja1815019r

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 9 publications

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“…As a form of specific data processing, we propose the index of ethnic factionalisation (Fearon 2003), which measures the degree of ethnic diversity in a population, as well as statistical tools of standard deviation and cluster analysis (Murtagh and Legendre 2011) on sets of general demographic indicators of population by ethnicity, such as birth rates, mortality rates, and natural increase, as well as population growth indexes, aging, and population concentration, whose results will allow the presentation of variable models of population dynamics. In the absence of adequate data for longitudinal analysis, cohort influences by ethnicity will only be partially considered using the pseudo-cohort method (Radić and Bakić 2018).…”

Section: Research Proposal For the Demographic Analysis Of The Qualit...mentioning

confidence: 99%

The demographic approach to the quality of official ethnicity data in Serbia - a research proposal

Trnavcevic

Knezevic

2023

STANOVNISHTVO

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Demographic studies of the population by ethnicity are gaining new significance. Emigration, intensive aging, and declining fertility have caused changes in demographic trends, particularly in communities of different ethnic backgrounds. Ethnodemographic trends are mostly observed through the lens of official ethnic statistics. The most important factor regarding data quality is the approach towards subjective criteria in the self-declaration of ethnic affiliation in censuses and vital statistical surveys. This paper presents examples of statistical deviations of demographic indicators based on official data on ethnicity and introduces a proposal for research into their quality and use value. Our research proposal is based on previous demographic analyses of ethnicity data and focuses on the demographic framework of statistics of ethnicity in Serbia through data quality analysis. We contend that the results presented in the paper constitute a sufficient argument for a broader methodological discussion regarding the necessity of demographic research into ethnicity data to create a ?more objective? demographic picture of minorities. Examining the quality of ethnicity data is ver y important for analysing indicators of statistically variable minority ethnic groups. The results of the research can form the basis for reviewing the data sources on which policies towards ethnic minorities are formulated.

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Section: Research Proposal For the Demographic Analysis Of The Qualit...mentioning

confidence: 99%

The demographic approach to the quality of official ethnicity data in Serbia - a research proposal

Trnavcevic

Knezevic

2023

STANOVNISHTVO

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Demographic summary of Serbia in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic

Penev¹

2021

Demografija

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In Serbia, from a demographic point of view, 2020 certainly stands out as one of the most significant years of the twenty-first century and, with respect to mortality, of the period after the end of the Second World War. This is mainly linked to the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has spread across the planet at an unprecedented rate. The aim of this paper is to present the analysis of Serbia's basic demographic data during the first year of the pandemic and to highlight the most important demographic consequences of the epidemic of the current coronavirus disease. As of 31 December 2020, according to the official SORS estimates, Serbia had 6,871,500 inhabitants, 55,000 fewer than in 2019. The decline is 74% higher than the 20-year average. As the estimates do not include net migration, the real population size is significantly smaller and, according to the author's opinion, it reaches a maximum of 6.7 million (as in 1961). The death toll was 116,850 and it is 15.2% higher than in 2019. This is the highest annual number of deaths, as well as the highest annual increase, since 1950. There have been 10,365 COVID-19 deaths (8.9% of total mortality and 67.2% of excess mortality). At the same time, a record was set in terms of the number of births, but in the opposite direction. In 2020, 61,692 babies were born, which is 4.2% less than in 2019 and was also the smallest number of births since 1900. The changes in the age structure are negligible compared to 2019, but very significant compared to the age-pyramids in 2002 and 2011. The share of people aged 65 years or over (21.3%) as well as the median age of 44.0 years indicate that, in 2020, Serbia belongs to the group of ten oldest populations in the world.

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Pseudo-cohort approach in the mortality analysis of the population of Serbia: Examples and problems

Cited by 2 publications

References 9 publications

The demographic approach to the quality of official ethnicity data in Serbia - a research proposal

The demographic approach to the quality of official ethnicity data in Serbia - a research proposal

Demographic summary of Serbia in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic

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