Prospective Analysis of the Geographic Distribution and Relative Abundance of Asian Citrus Psyllid (Hemiptera: Liviidae) and Citrus Greening Disease in North America and the Mediterranean Basin

Gutiérrez, A. P.; Ponti, Luigi

doi:10.1653/024.096.0417

Cited by 24 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 83 publications

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“…Narouei-Khandan et al (2015) [ 34 ] found a near-null probability of occurrence of D. citri in the Iberian Peninsula using a maxent model, while a support vector machine model predicted high climate suitability for the Asian citrus psyllid on the southwestern and Mediterranean regions of the Iberian Peninsula, but not in the western part of the Iberian Peninsula. The latter distribution was also found by Gutierrez and Ponti (2013) [ 35 ] throughout the study area using an age-structured population dynamics model. Previous works on the climatic restrictions of T. erytreae have suggested that the combination of high temperatures and low relative humidity may strongly restrict the development of eggs and first instar nymphs [ 36 ].…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 84%

A Model to Predict the Expansion of Trioza erytreae throughout the Iberian Peninsula Using a Pest Risk Analysis Approach

Benhadi‐Marín

Fereres

Pereira

2020

Insects

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Assessing the potential of spread of an introduced crop pest in a new country is crucial to anticipating its effects on crop production and deriving phytosanitary management toward reducing potential negative effects. Citrus production represents a key agricultural activity throughout the Mediterranean basin. The African citrus psyllid Trioza erytreae (del Guercio, 1918) (Hemiptera: Triozidae) is a natural vector of Candidatusliberibacter spp., the causal agent of the harmful disease huanglongbing (HLB) or “citrus greening disease”. In continental Europe, T. erytreae was detected for the first time in northwestern Spain in 2014. Pest risk analysis (PRA) approaches, such as modeling, consider both time and space components to predict the potential distribution of pests in a given region. In this work, we aim to parameterize a model able to predict the expected spread of T. erytreae in the Iberian Peninsula using three types of PRA models. The kernel model with two hypothetical entry points accurately predicted the distribution of T. erytreae with respect to latitude. This model should be further refined and validated to support decision-makers in the adoption of timely and successful management and regulatory measures against the spread of T. erytreae to other citrus-producing areas in Europe.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 84%

A Model to Predict the Expansion of Trioza erytreae throughout the Iberian Peninsula Using a Pest Risk Analysis Approach

Benhadi‐Marín

Fereres

Pereira

2020

Insects

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“…The maintenance of the genetic diversity of host species will therefore be important for their adaptation to the new environmental conditions, as a larger genetic diversity will help to respond more efficiently to climatic changes. Gutierrez and Ponti (2013) developed a model to evaluate the potential geographic distribution and relative abundance of Diaphorina citri on citrus, its parasitoid, and citrus greening disease (huanglongbing, HLB) in North America and the Mediterranean Basin. The authors observed that the areas with potential for development of citrus, the psyllid, and HLB overlap in some regions, representing a large risk for Southeast Spain, Sicily, and the eastern Mediterranean region.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential distribution of the guava psyllid Triozoida limbata (Hemiptera, Psylloidea), today and in global climate change scenarios

2018

Turk J Zool

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The jumping plant-louse Triozoida limbata is monophagous on guava (Psidium guajava), inducing leaf galls. Guava is planted today in warmer regions around the world but T. limbata is restricted to Central and South America. Recently, the latter has become a key pest in commercial plantations in Brazil (Pernambuco and São Paulo). Modeling of potential distributions is a good tool for developing control strategies of insect pests. Based on distributional data from the Americas, we created models for the psyllids for the present and future using different scenarios of climate change. The OpenModeller eco-niche modeling program was used with the Environmental Distance and Envelope Score algorithms. The potential distribution of T. limbata covers Central America, tropical and subtropical South America, sub-Saharan Africa except for the Kalahari and Cape regions, the southwest of the Indian subcontinent, Southeast Asia, and the north of Australia. In India, the largest guava producer of the world, the conditions for T. limbata are most favorable in the west and south. The effects of global climate change will be most felt in Brazil, where the decrease of suitable areas for T. limbata will concentrate the pest in the east and northeast and thus put more pressure on guava, increasing the potential for psyllid-induced damage.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Few risk assessment models are available currently for predicting the potential establishment of HLB (Gutierrez & Ponti, 2013), despite a call for predictive global mapping of the disease fifteen years ago (da Graça & Korsten, 2004). Most available models on the potential spread of HLB are based on suitable climate conditions for the psyllid vector D. citri (Aurambout, Finlay, Luck, & Beattie, 2009; Gutierrez & Ponti, 2013; Torres‐Pacheco et al, 2013). However, the risk of the establishment of HLB is not based solely on the distribution of the vector, because other factors such as environmental requirements may differ between the psyllid and the bacterial pathogen (Gottwald, 2010; Narouei‐Khandan et al, 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Habitat suitability and distribution potential of Liberibacter species (“Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus” and “Candidatus Liberibacter africanus”) associated with citrus greening disease

Ajene

Khamis

Asch

et al. 2020

Diversity and Distributions

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Aim To quantify current and predict future distribution of the citrus greening pathogens “Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus” (Las) in Africa and “Candidatus Liberibacter africanus” (Laf) globally. Location Africa. Methods Three species distribution models (MaxEnt, BIOCLIM and Boosted Regression Trees) were used to predict the current and future potential distribution of Las in Africa, and the potential global distribution of Laf, using long‐term bioclimatic variables. Two climate change scenarios (moderate and extreme) were employed to determine how future climate alterations may affect the potential distribution of Las in Africa. Presence data from global reports of Las, as well as the new positional points obtained in this survey, were used to predict the habitat suitability of the pathogen in Africa, while the presence data points of Laf were used to predict the global habitat suitability. Testing data comprised 25% of the presence only points. Results Consensus of the three models predicted a potential distribution of Las in large areas of Western, Eastern and sub‐Saharan Africa. North Africa was mostly unsuitable for Las, except for the northern fringes. The potential distribution of Laf included South and Central America, Asia and Australia. In Europe, the United Kingdom and the Iberian Peninsula showed marginal suitability for Laf. The projections under the future climate change scenarios showed an increase in the Laf habitat suitability hotspots under the extreme scenario. Main conclusions This study highlights the potential establishment and distribution in Africa of Las‐associated Huanglongbing and globally for Laf‐associated with African citrus greening disease. The ensemble modelling approach for the distribution of plant pathogens is a valuable tool for the development of strategies for crop protection. These results constitute an early alert for citrus‐producing regions that should inform strategies for surveillance and preventive management against the invasion and spread of this destructive disease.

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Prospective Analysis of the Geographic Distribution and Relative Abundance of Asian Citrus Psyllid (Hemiptera: Liviidae) and Citrus Greening Disease in North America and the Mediterranean Basin

Cited by 24 publications

References 83 publications

A Model to Predict the Expansion of Trioza erytreae throughout the Iberian Peninsula Using a Pest Risk Analysis Approach

A Model to Predict the Expansion of Trioza erytreae throughout the Iberian Peninsula Using a Pest Risk Analysis Approach

Potential distribution of the guava psyllid Triozoida limbata (Hemiptera, Psylloidea), today and in global climate change scenarios

Habitat suitability and distribution potential of Liberibacter species (“Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus” and “Candidatus Liberibacter africanus”) associated with citrus greening disease

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