Projecting the impacts of climate change on tree biomass in Arabuko-Sokoke Forest, Kenya

K., Tarus George; Muthama, Nzioka John; Githaiga, John M.; Onwonga, Richard

doi:10.20987/jccs.3.04.2018

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Moreover, the shores of Lake Victoria have been projected to have one of the highest increases in urban land cover by 2030 [15]. In addition to population pressure, the impacts of climate change on plants have also been reported [16]. This is proof that natural landscapes and systems will undergo inevitable change.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential Effects of Climate and Human Influence Changes on Range and Diversity of Nine Fabaceae Species and Implications for Nature’s Contribution to People in Kenya

Nyairo

Machimura

2020

Climate

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Climate and land-use changes are the main drivers of species distribution. On the basis of current and future climate and socioeconomic scenarios, species range projections were made for nine species in the Fabaceae family. Modeled species have instrumental and relational values termed as nature’s contribution to people (NCP). For each species, five scenarios were analyzed resulting in 45 species range maps. Representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs 1, 2, and 3) were used in the analysis. Species ranges under these scenarios were modeled using MaxEnt; a niche modeling software that relates species occurrence with environmental variables. Results were used to compute species richness and evenness based on Shannon’s diversity Index. Results revealed a mix of range expansion and contraction for the modeled species. The findings highlighted which species may remain competitive in an urbanized future and which ones are detrimentally affected by climate. Parts of the country where species abundances are likely to change due to climate and socioeconomic changes were identified. Management of species will be required in people-dominated landscapes to maintain interactions between nature and society, while avoiding natural resource degradation and loss of NCP.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%