Projected climate in coffee-based farming systems: implications for crop suitability in Uganda

Mulinde, Catherine; Majaliwa, J. G. M.; Twinomuhangi, Revocatus; Mfitumukiza, David; Waiswa, Daniel; Tumwine, Fredrick; Kato, Edward; Asiimwe, Judith; Nakyagaba, W.; Mukasa, David

doi:10.1007/s10113-022-01930-2

Cited by 11 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 76 publications

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“…Khan, Shah, and Iftikhar-Ul-Husnain 33 assert that climate change has led to global warming, unpredicted storms, drought, flood, and crop losses, affecting agricultural productivity and causing food insecurity. Akbar and Gheewala 34 and Mulinde et al 35 discuss the possible threats climate change poses to agriculture and food production.…”

Section: Climatic Change and Goiás’ Sugarcane Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Cruz

Machado

2023

Sci Rep

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A crucial aspect analysed during the last years, aiming to improve sugarcane production, is the impact of climate change on sugarcane productivity. One of the strategies to mitigate climate change's impact on sugarcane yield is the development of new varieties known to positively affect crop production. This paper analysed how climate change impacts sugarcane production regarding the different planted varieties. Data regarding sugarcane harvest were collected from a cooperative in the south of Goiás state—Brazil, the second biggest national sugarcane producer. Results indicate that climate impact on sugarcane yield is irrelevant when controlling for different varieties. Considering the results presented in this work, the Brazilian government should keep the incentives for the development of new sugarcane varieties and, at the same time, spur sugarcane producers to use the new sugarcane varieties. The results imply that if the variety is correctly chosen, sugarcane can be produced without harming the environment, contributing to reaching SDG 15. Moreover, it is less probable that an adverse climatic event will destroy the planted area, preventing sugarcane producers from severe loss and contributing to achieving SDGs number 1 and 2.

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Section: Climatic Change and Goiás’ Sugarcane Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Cruz

Machado

2023

Sci Rep

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“…The ALIECA model predicts the land suitability of Arabica coffee production using agro-ecological variables in Central America. An EcoCrop model assesses the climate suitability of a coffee-based cropping system in Uganda for the long term (2038) [87,88]. The Climex model accounts for the spatial distribution of CBB, considering the effect of environmental variables (temperature, moisture parameters, and other environmental constraints) [89].…”

Section: Species Distribution Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Systematic Review of Analytical and Modelling Tools to Assess Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation on Coffee Agrosystems

Faraz,

Mereu,

Spano

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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Several modelling tools reported the climate change impact on the coffee agrosystems. This article has adopted a systematic approach to searching out information from the literature about different modelling approaches to assess climate change impacts or/and adaptation on coffee crops worldwide. The review included all scientific publications from the date of the first relevant article until the end of 2022 and screened 60 relevant articles. Most results report research conducted in America, followed by Africa. The models assessed in the literature generally incorporate Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission scenarios (80% of manuscripts), particularly Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) and Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES), with the most common projection periods until 2050 (50% of documents). The selected manuscripts contain qualitative and quantitative modelling tools to simulate climate impact on crop suitability (55% of results), crop productivity (25% of studies), and pests and diseases (20% of the results). According to the analysed literature, MaxEnt is the leading machine learning model to assess the climate suitability of coffee agrosystems. The most authentic and reliable model in pest distribution is the Insect Life Cycle Modelling Software (ILCYM) (version 4.0). Scientific evidence shows a lack of adaptation modelling, especially in shading and irrigation practices, which crop models can assess. Therefore, it is recommended to fill this scientific gap by generating modelling tools to understand better coffee crop phenology and its adaptation under different climate scenarios to support adaptation strategies in coffee-producing countries, especially for the Robusta coffee species, where a lack of studies is reported (6% of the results), even though this species represents 40% of the total coffee production.

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“…Khan, Shah, and Iftikhar-Ul-Husnain [25] assert that climate change has led to global warming, unpredicted storms, drought, flood, and crop losses, affecting agricultural productivity and causing food insecurity. Akbar and Gheewala [5] and Mulinde et al [26] discuss the possible menaces offered by climate change to agriculture and food production. Bakhsh et al [27] warn that climate change impacts rainfall and raises temperatures, influencing food production, which may lead to conflicts.…”

Section: Literature Review 21 Climate Change and Sugarcane Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Increasing Sugarcane Production Eco-Efficiency: A DEA Analysis with Different Sugarcane Varieties

Cruz

Machado

2023

Sustainability

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The development of new sugarcane varieties affects crop production positively. However, only some studies have investigated how the use of different sugarcane varieties reacts to the impact of climate change, and how to improve sugarcane production efficiency considering the use of different sugarcane varieties in the field. This research hypothesizes that it is possible to mitigate climate change’s impact on sugarcane production and improve eco-efficiency if the proper sugarcane varieties are chosen. The main objective is to analyze the influence of different sugarcane varieties on production eco-efficiency. An econometric study unveiled the main elements affecting sugarcane production in this research. Afterward, a data envelopment analysis determined the sugarcane varieties with more efficient production. The results indicated that climate impact on production was irrelevant when controlling for different sugarcane varieties. Furthermore, it was found that through correct variety choosing, it is possible to improve harvest efficiency. The outcome of this research contributes to achieving the United Nations SDGs 1, 2, 7, 9, and 15.

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Projected climate in coffee-based farming systems: implications for crop suitability in Uganda

Cited by 11 publications

References 76 publications

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

Measuring climate change’s impact on different sugarcane varieties production in the South of Goiás

A Systematic Review of Analytical and Modelling Tools to Assess Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation on Coffee Agrosystems

Increasing Sugarcane Production Eco-Efficiency: A DEA Analysis with Different Sugarcane Varieties

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