Projeções Da Demanda Hospitalar Do Covid-19 Em Relação Às Medidas De Distanciamento Social: Estado Do Tocantins

Abstract

As projeções por demanda hospitalar do Covid 19 em relação às medidas de distanciamento social no estado do Tocantins foram realizadas por meio da modelagem SEIR. O estado ficará sem UTIs COVID-19 em 09/05/2020. No auge da demanda, serão necessárias 549 novas UTIs. Esta demanda corresponde a 62,01 vezes o número de leitos de UTI dedicados ao COVID-19 e 3,85 vezes o número total de UTIs instaladas na região. Este cenário prevê que 0,15% da população geral morreria num surto de COVID-19. Este número corresponde a 1,43% de todos que ficaram doentes. O modelo também indica que 76,28% da população será infectada pelo vírus, mas apenas 14% destes desenvolverão sintomas visíveis.

Stigma experienced by men diagnosed with COVID-19

“…The fear of being discriminated against, rejected, discarded from employment and isolated from social life in this study is similar to that experienced by people with HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis who also hide their diagnosis, and even avoid seeking care in services (30,32) . With regard to COVID-19, not all people with a confirmed diagnosis will present the same symptoms, some will even be asymptomatic, even though they can transmit the disease (35)(36)(37) . Thus, by not presenting visible or recognized attributes, these people can manipulate the information and reserve their diagnosis, discarding isolation measures and care to prevent the spread of the disease.…”

“…It is estimated that the pandemic will leave a balance of people who had COVID-19 in co-occurrence with other illnesses or stigmatizing conditions such as chronic diseases, disabilities or belonging to social minorities. In this sense, the intersectionality of stigmas can create barriers to access the necessary social and structural support and, consequently, widen health inequalities and intensify their experiences with stigma (37)(38) .…”