2018
DOI: 10.1177/1474515118799059
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Predictive models for identifying risk of readmission after index hospitalization for heart failure: A systematic review

Abstract: Complex disease management and correspondingly increasing costs for heart failure are driving innovations in building risk prediction models for readmission. Large volumes of diverse electronic data and new statistical methods have improved the predictive power of the models over the past two decades. More work is needed for calibration, external validation, and deployment of such models for clinical use.

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Cited by 51 publications
(42 citation statements)
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“…We did not find any significant differences in demographic and clinical characteristics between single and readmitted patients in contrast to other studies showing that older age, LV function <45% and an increase in the number of risk factors do increase the risk of rehospitalizations. 41 , 42 , 43 Our results may be explained by the nature of the database (no actual follow-up of patients nor does the database has out-patient monitoring data) and the patient population (all HF patients included in the study period older than 18 years, compared to newly diagnosed patients). This also permits us from doing any robust statistics including follow-up analyses such as a survival analysis.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…We did not find any significant differences in demographic and clinical characteristics between single and readmitted patients in contrast to other studies showing that older age, LV function <45% and an increase in the number of risk factors do increase the risk of rehospitalizations. 41 , 42 , 43 Our results may be explained by the nature of the database (no actual follow-up of patients nor does the database has out-patient monitoring data) and the patient population (all HF patients included in the study period older than 18 years, compared to newly diagnosed patients). This also permits us from doing any robust statistics including follow-up analyses such as a survival analysis.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 89%
“…Risk factors related to chronic diseases are consistently high, among readmission rates; especially those for heart failure, determining the need for strategies to systematically resolve this problem. Databased care models that incorporate risk predictions can be used at the point of care to optimize interventions and provide patient-centered care 28 .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Programs give great emphasis to education and the promotion of patient self-care (13). In HF, self-management involves the self-care skills and behaviours: of symptom recognition, weight monitoring, salt dietary restriction, exercise, medication adherence and steps to follow in case of exacerbation (14). In international (1,9) and local guidelines (15), health professionals recommendations include providing education and counselling on: aetiology, definition, symptoms and signs of HF, pharmacological treatment, modification of the risk factors, dietary restrictions, exercise, sexual activity, immunisation, sleep and respiratory pattern disorders, adherence to treatment, psychological aspects and prognosis.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%