Prediction of the potential global distribution of the Asian longhorned beetle Anoplophora glabripennis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) under climate change

Abstract

The Asian longhorned beetle (ALB) Anoplophora glabripennis (Motschulsky) (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) is an important wood-boring pest that has caused substantial damage to broadleaf trees in Asia, North America, and Europe. 2 We used the modelling software CLIMEX to project the potential global distribution of ALB based on both historical and future (2021-2050) climate conditions. ALB has possible hosts in 37 genera, and their known distributions were incorporated into the model to assess their effect on pest distribution. 3 Suitable regions for ALB are predicted to be widely distributed under both historical and future climate conditions, and across all continents except Antarctica. With climate change, climate suitability would increase in the regions north of 30 ∘ N and decline in most regions south of 30 ∘ N. 4 The area of most climate-suitable regions would be covered by potential hosts, and optimum hosts would dominate. The possibility of ALB outbreaks in the Northern Hemisphere is much higher than in the Southern Hemisphere, owing to the richer abundance of hosts. 5 These results provide theoretical guidance for developing effective ALB monitoring and mitigation measures.

The Impact of Climate Change on Potential Invasion Risk of Oryctes monoceros Worldwide

“…This is consistent with the open science movement's definition, which encourages data reuse for further research and decision-making (Allen and Mehler, 2019). As a result, some studies have used historical species data to estimate invasion risk areas (Jiang et al, 2018;Kraemer et al, 2019;Guo et al, 2021;Zhou et al, 2021;Aidoo et al, 2022a,b). The model outputs from such studies have been utilized in developing surveillance, monitoring, and preventive measures against invasive pests (Hao et al, 2022).…”

TitleClimate Change will Weaken the Ability of Natural Enemies to Control the Asian Longhorned Beetle, <i>Anoplophora glabripennis</i> (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae)

“…Among insects, Chilo suppressalis [63], Drosophila melanogaster [64], Nezara viridula [65], and Bactrocera dorsalis [66] have been confirmed to migrate northward with climate warming. Byeon [27] and Zhou [28] also showed that the climate suitability of ALB would increase in the region north of 30°N and decrease in most regions south of 30°N. Our results show that the suitable areas of ALB, D. helophoroides, and D. major continue to shift northward in the current-2050 and 2050-2090 stages, and suitable areas south of 30°N are gradually decreasing.…”

“…The MaxEnt model is suitable for studies of biological invasions and responses to climate change [22] because its accuracy is better than that of other models and it is easy to use. Previous studies have predicted the distribution of ALB in Europe [23], North America [24], Massachusetts [25], eastern Canada [26], and worldwide [27][28]. However, these studies did not analyze natural enemy factors and did not evaluate whether there are any natural enemy resources that can naturally control ALB in the invaded regions.…”

Predicting Distribution of the Asian Longhorned Beetle, Anoplophora glabripennis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and Its Natural Enemies in China

“…Among insects, C hilo suppressalis [ 53 ], Drosophila melanogaster [ 54 ], Nezara viridula [ 55 ], and Bactrocera dorsalis [ 56 ] have been confirmed to migrate northward with climate warming. Byeon [ 27 ] and Zhou [ 28 ] also showed that the climate suitability of A . glabripennis would increase in the region north of 30° N and decrease in most regions south of 30° N. Our results show that the suitable areas of A .…”

“…The MaxEnt model is suitable for studies of biological invasions and responses to climate change [ 22 ] because its accuracy is better than those of other models and it is easy to use. Previous studies have predicted the distribution of A. glabripennis in Europe [ 23 ], North America [ 24 ], Massachusetts [ 25 ], eastern Canada [ 26 ], and worldwide [ 27 , 28 ]. However, these studies did not analyze natural enemy factors and did not evaluate whether there are any natural enemy resources that can naturally control A .…”