2010
DOI: 10.1245/s10434-010-1050-z
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Predicting Survival Outcome of Localized Melanoma: An Electronic Prediction Tool Based on the AJCC Melanoma Database

Abstract: This is the first predictive model for localized melanoma that was developed based on a very large data set and was successfully validated on an independent data set. The high concordance correlation coefficients demonstrated the accuracy of the predicted model. This predictive model provides a clinically useful tool for making treatment decisions, for assessing patient risk, and for planning and analyzing clinical trials.

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Cited by 109 publications
(112 citation statements)
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“…For instance, the 10-year survival probability for a women 75 years of age with a 2.2 mm non-ulcerated CMM in the present study was 79% (76-82) compared with 60% (51-69) in the study by Soong (4). Other studies have previously found such disparities and the most probable explanation is selection bias.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 68%
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“…For instance, the 10-year survival probability for a women 75 years of age with a 2.2 mm non-ulcerated CMM in the present study was 79% (76-82) compared with 60% (51-69) in the study by Soong (4). Other studies have previously found such disparities and the most probable explanation is selection bias.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 68%
“…This superior non-stage effect for women has previously been found in studies with similar HR (19,20). Surprisingly, sex was not included in the final prognostic model in two of the largest published prognostic instruments based on AJCC data and from Queensland Australia respectively (3,4).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 56%
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“…2 A subset of tumours characterized as deep (depth of >4 mm), with ulceration or possibly those with a high tumour mitotic rate (≥1 per mm 2 ), are considered high risk for recurrence. 15 The panel recom mends that all stage II patients have a comprehensive diagnostic workup and be reviewed by a multi disciplinary team (surgical oncologist, medical oncologist and dermatopathologist) to accurately determine tumour stage and risk of melanoma recurrence. This workup should include sentinel-lymph-node biopsy, when appropriate.…”
Section: Initial Assessmentmentioning
confidence: 99%