Predicting Recidivism by Mentally Disordered Offenders Using the LSI-R:SV

Abstract

The Level of Service Inventory—Revised: Screening Version (LSI-R:SV) has proven to validly predict reoffending in general offender populations but has not previously been studied specifically with offenders who have a major mental illness, including those with a dual diagnosis. This research project measures the validity of the LSI-R:SV for use with 208 mentally ill offenders who were released from a secure forensic hospital in Melbourne, Australia. Results indicate that the LSI-R:SV is a good predictor of recidivism among mentally disordered offenders. However, the LSI-R:SV does not reliably predict recidivism in individuals who attracted a dual diagnosis. Further research needs to reevaluate risk factors associated with recidivism in offenders with a dual diagnosis.

An Examination of Criminogenic Needs, Mental Health Concerns, and Recidivism in a Sample of Violent Young Offenders: Implications for Risk, Need, and Responsivity

“…Only when combined with co-morbid substance abuse, was severe mental illness significantly related to a higher incidence of violence. Additional lines of research have confirmed the moderating effect of SUD coupled with mental illness among adult samples (Ferguson, Ogloff, & Thomson, 2009;Ogloff et al, 2004;Rezansoff et al, 2013;Steadman et al, 1998;Wallace, Mullen, & Burgess, 2004). Alternatively, a few studies have found a significant relationship between mental illness and the likelihood of violence, irrespective of substance abuse (Short, Thomas, Mullen, & Ogloff, 2013;Van Dorn, Volavka, & Johnson, 2012).…”

“…(The lone exception was personality pathology and psychopathy, both of which had robust associations with general and violent recidivism.) Among the very few studies, however, that examined the predictive validity of LS risk measures among dually diagnosed adult patients, Ferguson et al (2009) found that the LSI-R:SV did not significantly predict any recidivism outcomes (AUC values ranged from .50 to .51). The relationship of mental disorder and dual diagnosis with criminogenic needs has yet to be examined in young offender populations and thus will be a focus of the present study.…”

Youth Drug Offenders: An Examination of Criminogenic Risk and Juvenile Recidivism

“…Drug offenders are among the groups mentioned as difficult to assess (Andrews & Bonta, 2010). Different risk assessment measures have been validated for some groups including mentally disordered offenders (Ferguson, Ogloff, & Thompson, 2009), male batterers (Hendricks, Werner, Shipway, & Turinetti, 2006), adult and juvenile sex offenders (Prentky & Righthand, 2003; Vrana & Sroga, 2008) and adult drug offenders (Kelly & Welsh, 2008). However, no corresponding validations have been conducted among juvenile drug offenders.…”

The prevalence and manifestation of substance use paralleling behaviours in a secure forensic psychiatric hospital

“…The forensic psychiatric inpatient population has been shown to have alarmingly high rates of substance use histories (Ferguson, Ogloff, & Thomson, 2009;Kaur, Daffern, & Thomas, 2009;Mueser, et al, 2000;Ogloff, Lemphers, & Dwyer, 2004;Scott, Whyte, Burnett, Hawley, & Maden, 2004). In the UK, the rate of substance use in the inpatient population is twice the rate observed in the general population .…”