The retention and switching patterns of the importing countries are seen as crucial for the exporting countries to maintain their consistency and growth, where random variables, such as the export of mango from Pakistan, have a significant effect. These actions have a significant role in export of horticulture products like fresh fruits and vegetables. Therefore this study investigates the importing pattern of the top five importers, (i.e., United Arab Emirates (UAE), Oman, Saudi Arabia, United kingdom (UK), and Qatar), where Pakistani exports constitute about 70 percent of mango exports. For measuring the occurrence probability of a random variable, the Markov chain analysis is applied to the time series data from FY 2016-17 to FY 2021-22 collected from secondary sources. Based on the TPM, the study concludes that, in terms of quantity, Pakistan can rely on UAE and other category of importing countries for mango exports. In value terms Pakistan can rely on other category of importing nations for mango exports. The Markov chain result showed that the direction of Pakistani mango exports is shifting from a small group of importing countries to other nations in the world. Regulations and direction by the policy makers can improve the production and export of the mango from Pakistan.