Predicting climate-change-caused changes in global temperature on potato tuber moth Phthorimaea operculella (Zeller) distribution and abundance using phenology modeling and GIS mapping

Kroschel, J.; Sporleder, M.; Tonnang, Henri E. Z.; Juárez, Henry; Carhuapoma, P.; Gonzales, João Carlos; Simon, Reinhard

doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.06.017

Cited by 117 publications

(141 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…In a recent study, Kroschel et al (2013) report that PTM now occurs in cold regions, indicating that PTM is able to survive cold temperatures. However, previous authors that investigated PTM cold tolerance neglected the importance of cold acclimation, heat hardening and ramp rates on mortality.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of cold acclimation, cooling rate and heat stress on cold tolerance of the potato tuber moth Phthorimaea operculella (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae)

Hemmati¹,

Moharramipour²,

Talebi³

2014

Eur. J. Entomol.

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Abstract. This study was carried out to investigate the effects of cold acclimation, cooling rate and heat stress on supercooling capacity and cold hardiness of the potato tuber moth (PTM), Phthorimaea operculella Zeller (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae). Supercooling points (SCP) of first and last instar larvae, prepupae and pupae were -21.8, -16.9, -18.9 and -18.0°C, respectively. Cold acclimation (1-week at 0 and 5°C) did not affect SCPs of acclimated last instar larvae, prepupae and pupae. LT 50 s (lower lethal temperature for 50% mortality) for first and last instar larvae, prepupae and pupae were -15.5, -12.4, -17.9 and -16.0°C, respectively. Cold acclimation resulted in a significant decrease in mortality of all developmental stages. In addition, the mortality rates of the different developmental stages decreased with decrease in cooling rate. In addition, heat hardening (kept at 40°C for 2 h) significantly reduced mortality of all developmental stages exposed to LT 50 conditions, suggesting that heat hardening also affects cold tolerance. Results indicate that none of the stages could tolerate subzero temperatures below their SCPs, indicating that this species might be a chill tolerant insect. These adaptive responses may allow PTM to enhance its cold tolerance and colonize cold regions.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of cold acclimation, cooling rate and heat stress on cold tolerance of the potato tuber moth Phthorimaea operculella (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae)

Hemmati¹,

Moharramipour²,

Talebi³

2014

Eur. J. Entomol.

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“…Mighty 2015, Naughton et al 2015, climate, and climate change impact studies (e.g. Alamgir et al 2015, Cordovez et al 2014, Cuervo et al 2015, Fand et al 2014, Kim, Beresford 2011, Kroschel et al 2013, Orlandini et al 2003, Rübbelke, vögele 2011. In the case of this study, the 2.5 arc-minutes (~5 km 2 ) WorldClim monthly climate surfaces (i.e.…”

Section: Methodology Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Mapping Spatio-Temporal Changes in Climatic Suitability of Corn in the Philippines under Future Climate Condition

Salvacion

2017

Quaestiones Geographicae

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SAlvAcion A.r., 2017. Mapping spatio-temporal changes in climatic suitability of corn in the Philippines under future climate condition. Quaestiones Geographiceae 36(1), Bogucki Wydownictwo Naukowe, Poznań, pp. 105-120, 11 figs, 5 tables.AbStrAct: This study assessed the spatio-temporal changes in corn climatic suitability in the Philippines under future climate condition. Using extracted climatic data from WorldClim database for the country under baseline and future climate condition, changes in corn suitability was assessed using fuzzy logic approach and published rainfall and temperature requirement of the crop. Based on the data, the large portion of the country will experience increase in monthly total rainfall (88%) while increase in monthly mean and minimum temperature under future climate condition is projected for the entire country. These increases in rainfall and temperature resulted in changes of corn climatic suitability in the country depending on the month and location. On the average, changes in rainfall resulted in reduction (8%) and improvement (6%) in corn suitability while increase in temperature resulted in 5% and 0.4% reduction and improvement, respectively.

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“…There is, therefore, a risk that future crop yields might be overestimated if the impacts of insect pests and plant disease epidemics are not taken into consideration (West et al, 2015). In the tropical areas, there have been few studies on the effect of global warming on insect pests of agricultural crops (Perkins et al, 2011) with the exception of the coffee berry borer (Jaramillo et al, 2009) and the potato tuber moth (Kroschel et al, 2013) and yet tropical insects are at a greater risk from climate change as they inhabit hot environments (Zeh et al, 2012). This review will, therefore, examine the impact of each of the climate change variable in more detail.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Responses of Insect Pests and Plant Diseases to Changing and Variable Climate: A Review

Katsaruware-Chapoto¹,

Mafongoya²,

Gubba³

2017

JAS

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Natural and anthropogenic factors have resulted in altered environmental conditions that influence changes in abundance and diversity of insect pests. Global climate change projections focus on crop yields and adaptation strategies to declining yields and ignore the likely impact of a changing climate on insect pests and plant diseases. In this research paper, we review the effects of climate variables namely temperature, carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), precipitation and extreme weather events on insect pests and plant diseases incidence. Elevated temperatures, CO 2 and extreme weather events have been shown to alter the distribution, reproductive potential, the incidence and abundance of plant insects and diseases in temperate regions because of the dependence of insects and diseases on environmental conditions. There is limited information on the influence of temperature and carbon dioxide as well as their interaction on the incidence and severity of insect pests, bacterial and viral diseases in the tropical regions. Information on the influence of altered precipitation patterns is also limited but could be of importance in insect distribution studies in a changing climate. Some tropical insects pests are most likely to suffer from extreme heat, resulting in death and hence pest extinction. Future research should focus on the interaction of elevated temperature and CO 2 , determine the influence of supra optimal summer temperatures, temperature variability, precipitation variability and the corresponding viral and bacterial diseases.

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Predicting climate-change-caused changes in global temperature on potato tuber moth Phthorimaea operculella (Zeller) distribution and abundance using phenology modeling and GIS mapping

Cited by 117 publications

References 39 publications

Effects of cold acclimation, cooling rate and heat stress on cold tolerance of the potato tuber moth Phthorimaea operculella (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae)

Effects of cold acclimation, cooling rate and heat stress on cold tolerance of the potato tuber moth Phthorimaea operculella (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae)

Mapping Spatio-Temporal Changes in Climatic Suitability of Corn in the Philippines under Future Climate Condition

Responses of Insect Pests and Plant Diseases to Changing and Variable Climate: A Review

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