Potential Impacts of Storm Surges and Sea-level Rise on Nesting Habitat of Red-breasted Mergansers (<i>Mergus serrator</i>) on Barrier Islands in New Brunswick, Canada

Craik, Shawn R.; Hanson, Alan; Titman, Rodger D.; Mahoney, Matthew L.; Tremblay, Éric

doi:10.1675/063.038.0110

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Although bird communities in protected areas may be more resistant and resilient to climate change than those in more developed or working landscapes [15,79,80], protected areas remain vulnerable and there is already evidence of changes to terrestrial biomes and bird assemblages in some of Canada's national parks [26,[81][82][83][84]. As our findings illustrate, substantial further changes are expected, and although they appear to be park-and species-specific, some regional patterns are evident.…”

Section: Plos Onementioning

confidence: 59%

Projected changes in bird assemblages due to climate change in a Canadian system of protected areas

Gahbauer

Parker

et al. 2022

PLoS ONE

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National parks often serve as a cornerstone for a country’s species and ecosystem conservation efforts. However, despite the protection these sites afford, climate change is expected to drive a substantial change in their bird assemblages. We used species distribution models to predict the change in environmental suitability (i.e., how well environmental conditions explain the presence of a species) of 49 Canadian national parks during summer and winter for 434 bird species under a 2°C warming scenario, anticipated to occur in Canada around the mid-21st century. We compared these to existing species distributions in the 2010s, and classified suitability projections for each species at each park as potential extirpation, worsening, stable, improving, or potential colonisation. Across all parks, and both seasons, 70% of the projections indicate change, including a 25% turnover in summer assemblages and 30% turnover in winter assemblages. The majority of parks are projected to have increases in species richness and functional traits in winter, compared to a mix of increases and decreases in both in summer. However, some changes are expected to vary by region, such as Arctic region parks being likely to experience the most potential colonisation, while some of the Mixedwood Plains and Atlantic Maritime region parks may experience the greatest turnover and potential extirpation in summer if management actions are not taken to mitigate some of these losses. Although uncertainty exists around the precise rate and impacts of climate change, our results indicate that conservation practices that assume stationarity of environmental conditions will become untenable. We propose general guidance to help managers adapt their conservation actions to consider the potentially substantive changes in bird assemblages that are projected, including managing for persistence and change.

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Section: Plos Onementioning

confidence: 59%

Projected changes in bird assemblages due to climate change in a Canadian system of protected areas

Gahbauer

Parker

et al. 2022

PLoS ONE

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“…Climate change‐induced sea level rise will alter coastal habitats (IPCC, 2007) and in turn affect many bird species that rely on these habitats for roosting, foraging, and breeding (Clausen & Clausen, 2014). Breeding habitat for many species of waterfowl, shorebirds, and seabirds is predicted to be inundated or washed away by rising seas or storm surges (e.g., Craik et al., 2015; Galbraith et al., 2002; Ivajnšič et al., 2017), which are expected to occur with increasing frequency (Collins et al., 2013). Eustatic sea level rise is predicted to have the greatest impact in the tropical Pacific where terrestrial vertebrates are at risk of losing up to 22% of current habitat to inundation (Wetzel et al., 2013), including the entire areas of some low‐lying islands (Bellard et al., 2014; Wetzel et al., 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Breeding and feeding habitat selection by an island endemic bird may increase its vulnerability to climate change

et al. 2020

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Temperate and tropical island bird species are threatened by a host of environmental challenges, including introduced predators, habitat loss, and climate change (e.g., Blackburn et al., 2004; Sekercioglu et al., 2012; Taylor & Kumar, 2016). While projected climate change impacts for temperate bird species are relatively well-characterized, there is less information available for tropical species (Sekercioglu et al., 2012). Characterizing a species' habitat use is an essential first step for assessing its vulnerability to environmental change (Kays et al., 2011) and planning effective conservation efforts (Sekercioglu et al., 2012). Climate change-induced sea level rise will alter coastal habitats (IPCC, 2007) and in turn affect many bird species that rely on these habitats for roosting, foraging, and breeding (Clausen & Clausen, 2014).

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Flood risks to urban development on a coastal barrier landscape of Lekki Peninsula in Lagos, Nigeria

et al. 2021

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Potential Impacts of Storm Surges and Sea-level Rise on Nesting Habitat of Red-breasted Mergansers (Mergus serrator) on Barrier Islands in New Brunswick, Canada

Abstract: BioOne Complete (complete.BioOne.org) is a full-text database of 200 subscribed and open-access titles in the biological, ecological, and environmental sciences published by nonprofit societies, associations, museums, institutions, and presses.

Cited by 3 publications

References 25 publications

Projected changes in bird assemblages due to climate change in a Canadian system of protected areas

Projected changes in bird assemblages due to climate change in a Canadian system of protected areas

Breeding and feeding habitat selection by an island endemic bird may increase its vulnerability to climate change

Flood risks to urban development on a coastal barrier landscape of Lekki Peninsula in Lagos, Nigeria

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