Peramalan Harga Telur Ayam Ras Pada Hari Besar Keagamaan Di Pasar Jawa Timur

Destiarni, Resti Prastika

doi:10.33005/adv.v7i1.1131

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…This is due to the many factors that affect the price of domestic chicken eggs. The optimistic scenario in the model assumes that egg prices have increased by 6.88 percent/year [11]. The increase in egg prices causes a) an increase in farmer income by 1 to 27 percent/year; b) an increase in farmer profits by 2 to 28 percent/year; c) an increase in profits per farmer by 2 to 3 percent/year; and d) an increase in chicken egg production by 15 percent/year.…”

Section: ) Scenario and Simulation Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A System Dynamics Model for Developing an Agropolitan Area based on Laying Hens in Lima Puluh Kota Regency

Yuzaria

Nuraini

Rahmi

et al. 2022

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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The development of an agropolitan area based on laying hens in Lima Puluh Kota Regency faces many problems. One method that can be used to solve these complex problems is the systems approach. This study aimed to build a model for developing a sustainable agropolitan area based on integrated laying hens farming. The results of the system performance indicated that the current system is in a fairly sustainable position. The dynamics of time will make changes in system performance in the future. There are six factors that influence the interdependent system, namely carrying capacity, egg prices, farmer income, employment, infrastructure, and utilization of livestock waste. Based on the state of each factor, three scenarios were formulated for the development of a sustainable laying hens farming system in Lima Puluh Kota Regency: (1) conservative-pessimistic scenario, (2) moderate-optimistic scenario, and (3) progressive-optimistic scenario.

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Section: ) Scenario and Simulation Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A System Dynamics Model for Developing an Agropolitan Area based on Laying Hens in Lima Puluh Kota Regency

Yuzaria

Nuraini

Rahmi

et al. 2022

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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“…Beberapa penelitian sejenis yang dalam hal ini melakukan peramalan harga telur ayam ras, telah dilakukan dengan beberapa metode seperti PSO-NN menghasilkan MAPE terkecil yang didapatkan yaitu 1.01552% [13], SVR-PSO yang menghasilkan nilai MAPE terkecil sebesar 1.8840% serta penelitian lainnya yang menggunakan ARIMA dan Holt Winter Exponential Smoothing dengan MAPE 4.061% [14].…”

Section: Pendahuluanunclassified

Peramalan Harga Telur Ayam Ras Di Jakarta Timur Berbasis Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan

Syamsiah

2020

Com, Engine, Sys, Sci

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Penelitian ini membahas tentang pemanfaatan jaringan syaraf tiruan untuk peramalan harga telur ayam ras di Jakarta Timur. Data harga yang digunakan adalah data time series harian. Metode yang dipilih adalah Jaringan syaraf tiruan dengna 2 fungsi aktivasi, yakni sigmoid biner dan sigmoid bipolar dengan memanfaatkan Tools Rapidminer Studio mulai dari tahapan pertama hingga tahapan akhir. Eksperimen dilakukan dengan melakukan perubahan pada beberapa parameter neural network seperti jumlah hidden node, training cycle, learning rate maupun jumlah momentum. Penentuan hidden layer diupayakan semaksimal mungkin bertujuan untuk menghindari terjadinya permasalahan Overfitting dan Underfitting. Hasil yang dicapai, bahwasanya RMSE terkecil diperoleh dari penggunaan fungsi aktivasi sigmoid biner dengan nilai 0.033. dan arsitektur terbaik yakni 7 input, 2 hidden node dan 1 output. Penelitian ini menunjukkan hasil bahwa jaringan syaraf tiruan memberikan hasil yang cukup baik bagi peramalan data harga telur ayam ras di Jakarta Timur yang datanya bersifat time series univariat.Kata kunci: Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan, Telur, Harga, Peramalan

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Peramalan Harga Telur Ayam Ras Pada Hari Besar Keagamaan Di Pasar Jawa Timur

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

A System Dynamics Model for Developing an Agropolitan Area based on Laying Hens in Lima Puluh Kota Regency

A System Dynamics Model for Developing an Agropolitan Area based on Laying Hens in Lima Puluh Kota Regency

Peramalan Harga Telur Ayam Ras Di Jakarta Timur Berbasis Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan

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