2020
DOI: 10.37676/agritepa.v7i1.1002
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Pendugaan Model Peramalan Harga Ekspor Kopi Indonesia

Abstract: ABSTRACT This study aims to examine the best forecasting model for the export price of Indonesian coffee. The data used in this study are monthly data on coffee prices from January 2012 to September 2019. Three price forecasting models used are moving average, single exponential smoothing and trend analysis are applied to determine the best model based on the lowest MAPE, MAD, and MSE values. The results showed the best model for forecasting the export price of coffee is the moving average (MA1) … Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
1
1

Citation Types

0
1
0
1

Year Published

2022
2022
2022
2022

Publication Types

Select...
2

Relationship

0
2

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 2 publications
(2 citation statements)
references
References 0 publications
0
1
0
1
Order By: Relevance
“…Indonesia has always been within the top three world's coffee producing countries for around three decades [1]. Previous studies of growth trend analysis for coffee consumption in Indonesia showed an average increase rate of 8.66% during the 2016-2020 period [2]. This showed that national consumption for coffee in Indonesia is growing in line with the growth of the population.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Indonesia has always been within the top three world's coffee producing countries for around three decades [1]. Previous studies of growth trend analysis for coffee consumption in Indonesia showed an average increase rate of 8.66% during the 2016-2020 period [2]. This showed that national consumption for coffee in Indonesia is growing in line with the growth of the population.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Kedua jenis kopi tersebut dibedakan oleh faktor iklim penanaman, bentuk fisik, dan kandungan kimia di dalamnya (Farhaty dan Muchtaridi, 2016). Ekspor Kopi Arabika di Indonesia mencapai 6%, sedangkan ekspor Kopi robusta mencapai 94% dari keseluruhan ekspor kopi (Emlan et al, 2020). Konsumsi kopi di dunia pada Kopi Robusta sebesar 26%, sedangkan pada Kopi Arabika sebesar 70% (Kusmiati dan Nursamsiyah, 2015).…”
Section: Pendahuluanunclassified