This research examined whether self-fulfilling prophecy effects are mediated by self-verification, informational conformity, and modeling processes. The authors examined these mediational processes across multiple time frames with longitudinal data obtained from two samples of mother -child dyads (N 1 = 487; N 2 = 287). Children's alcohol use was the outcome variable. The results provided consistent support for the mediational process of self-verification. In both samples and across several years of adolescence, there was a significant indirect effect of mothers' beliefs on children's alcohol use through children's self-assessed likelihood of drinking alcohol in the future. Comparatively less support was found for informational conformity and modeling processes as mediators of mothers' self-fulfilling effects. The potential for self-fulfilling prophecies to produce long lasting changes in targets' behavior via self-verification processes are discussed.
KeywordsSelf-fulfilling prophecies; Self-verification; Informational conformity; Modeling; Adolescent alcohol use
The Mediation of Mothers' Self-Fulfilling Effects on Their Children's Alcohol Use: Self-Verification, Informational Conformity and Modeling ProcessesSocial psychological theory proposes that people can construct social reality through the process of a self-fulfilling prophecy. A self-fulfilling prophecy occurs when one person (a perceiver) causes her or his false belief about another person (a target) to become true (Merton, 1948). There is broad consensus within the social psychological literature that this process necessarily involves three core, sequential events (Darley & Fazio, 1980;Harris & Rosenthal, Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Stephanie Madon, W112 Lagomarcino Hall, Department of Psychology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011. Electronic mail may be sent to madon@iastate.edu. Publisher's Disclaimer: The following manuscript is the final accepted manuscript. It has not been subjected to the final copyediting, fact-checking, and proofreading required for formal publication. It is not the definitive, publisher-authenticated version. The American Psychological Association and its Council of Editors disclaim any responsibility or liabilities for errors or omissions of this manuscript version, any version derived from this manuscript by NIH, or other third parties. The published version is available at www.apa.org/journals/psp. E. E. Jones, 1986;Jussim, 1986;Snyder, 1984). First, a perceiver must hold a false belief about a target. For example, a teacher may overestimate a student's ability, believing that the student is more capable than the student really is. Second, the perceiver's false belief must be communicated to the target by way of the perceiver's behavior toward the target. A teacher who overestimates a student's ability might communicate that belief to the student by calling on that student often, spending extra time with that student, teaching that student especially difficult material, and ...