Participatory Simulation of Land-Use Changes in the Northern Mountains of Vietnam: the Combined Use of an Agent-Based Model, a Role-Playing Game, and a Geographic Information System

Castella, Jean‐Christophe; Trung, Tran Ngoc; Boissau, Stanislas

doi:10.5751/es-01328-100127

Cited by 231 publications

(165 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…They have also been used to test scenarios, facilitate negotiation support and validate multi-agent simulation (MAS) models (Castella et al 2005;D' Aquino et al 2003;Villamor 2012). RPGs are also used to reveal facts that could not easily be communicated through a conventional means of data collection (Vieira Pak and Castillo Brieva 2010;Villamor and van Noordwijk 2011), and to demonstrate that individuals behave differently in a group setting.…”

Section: Gender and Land Use Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Gender influences decisions to change land use practices in the tropical forest margins of Jambi, Indonesia

Villamor

Amaruzaman

Noordwijk

2013

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

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This study explores the role of gender as a factor in decision making about alternative land use options and in responses to new investment opportunities, which has received little attention to date. An observational study to determine the different factors affecting male and female decisions to change land use at the individual level in a forest margin landscape in Jambi (Sumatra, Indonesia) was combined with a set of role playing games (RPGs) designed to assess participant responses in a simulated social setting of women-only and men-only groups. The RPG included simulated agents offering new opportunities to convert or conserve agroforest. In the study area, rubber (Hevea braziliensis) agroforests that support high biodiversity and carbon storage are giving way to monoculture rubber and oil palm (Elaeis guineensis) plantations. When women from both the upland and lowland villages played the RPGs, external investors proposing logging or oil palm conversion were approached very positively and the resulting land use change was more dynamic and extensive than in the equivalent men-only groups. Consequently, women outperformed men in achieving income targets. In lowland areas gender is strongly associated with land use change, while in the uplands the level of conservation awareness plays a more crucial role in the maintenance of rubber agroforests. Based on the data, and contrary to expectations and gender stereotypes, it is expected that the greater involvement of women in landscape level decision making will increase emissions from deforestation and forest degradation in the area, posing further challenges to efforts to reduce such emissions.

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Section: Gender and Land Use Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Gender influences decisions to change land use practices in the tropical forest margins of Jambi, Indonesia

Villamor

Amaruzaman

Noordwijk

2013

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change

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“…Here, actors and their role are central, as expressed in the DFA-C and A-C models. The approaches used account for a wide diversity of actors at the local scale, and their motivations, perceptions, and adaptive responses to landscape continuity and change, including landscape stewardship and awareness-raising approaches (e.g., Castella et al 2005, Vallés-Planells et al 2014. Methods include codesign of stewardship options during stakeholder workshops and agent-based models to evaluate alternative landscape futures that represent the diversity and development of agent behavior (Valbuena et al 2010, van Berkel andVerburg 2014).…”

Section: Linking Driving Forces Concepts With Research Aims and Spatimentioning

confidence: 99%

From concepts to practice: combining different approaches to understand drivers of landscape change

Kizos¹,

Verburg²,

Bürgi³

et al. 2018

E&S

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ABSTRACT. Landscape change and its drivers have been the focus of a growing body of literature in the past years. Our objective is to present different approaches to studying and understanding landscape change. We sketch the way in which different approaches and existing conceptual models are related to spatial scales and epistemological aims, and discuss complementarity and a range of applications with five specific research approaches from a Mediterranean landscape, including approaches at national and European levels. These include an analysis of historical landscape change, an investigation of decision-making processes, public awareness raising, evaluation of landscape services, and provision of policy support with data from published and unpublished material. The findings indicate that on the issue of complementarity, some models work better together with others. A major difference observed is the role that conceptual models and related approaches provide to the "voice" of stakeholders and actors of landscape change, sometimes contradicting, but often complementary. An important issue that comes up is a need for a plurality of research approaches and underlying conceptualizations of human-environment interactions, as the approaches represent different lenses for looking at the humanenvironmental system that are all abstractions from the full complexity of how decision-making on land use is conducted.

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“…Such models are unable to anticipate the impacts of events such as the Soviet collapse both because they share the above interpretations of the political and economic systems that support human land use, and because they adopt a parallel interpretation of the land use system itself. Sudden transitions or 'regime-shifts' in land use are equally dependent on the basic processes at play rather than system-level properties, and their anticipation therefore depends upon knowledge of behavioural, social and other micro-scale factors (Weisbuch 2000;Lambin et al 2001;Castella et al 2005;Lambin and Meyfroidt 2010). This is not to claim that intentionalistic interpretations could be infallible guides to such events or to social trends more generally (e.g.…”

Section: Predictionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Such insights are common to top-down analyses of all social systems. In the context of land use change, macro-scale relationships between economic or population growth and agricultural expansion or intensification may result from complex behavioural, social and institutional interactions rather than any direct causation, but nevertheless suggest specific, promising foci for further research Castella et al 2005). Similarly, attempts to 'socialise the pixel' by working backwards from aggregate properties to underlying social processes (e.g.…”

Section: Top-down Modellingmentioning

confidence: 99%

A philosophical case for process-based modelling of land use change

Brown

Rounsevell

2016

Model. Earth Syst. Environ.

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Modelling is used to describe, explore and predict changes in land use and other human systems. 'Top-down' and 'bottom-up' modelling approaches are both popular, and each has important philosophical implications that correspond closely to major debates in social science. We outline some key contributions to these debates and argue that social processes such as those underlying land use decisions are fundamentally determined by individual intentionality, interacting with social norms of language, culture and institutions, rather than by general and predictable 'laws'. Therefore, bottom-up models that reflect these processes offer far more informative accounts of system development. However, prediction remains outside the scope of either approach, and methods of validation based on tests of historical predictive ability risk over-fitting to trends and underestimating uncertainties. We explore the implications of these arguments for model design and use, and for general understanding of such fundamentally complex, spontaneously evolving systems.

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Participatory Simulation of Land-Use Changes in the Northern Mountains of Vietnam: the Combined Use of an Agent-Based Model, a Role-Playing Game, and a Geographic Information System

Cited by 231 publications

References 24 publications

Gender influences decisions to change land use practices in the tropical forest margins of Jambi, Indonesia

Gender influences decisions to change land use practices in the tropical forest margins of Jambi, Indonesia

From concepts to practice: combining different approaches to understand drivers of landscape change

A philosophical case for process-based modelling of land use change

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