Parameterization Framework and Quantification Approach for Integrated Risk and Resilience Assessments

Cains, Mariana; Henshel, Diane S.

doi:10.1002/ieam.4331

Cited by 12 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 51 publications

(66 reference statements)

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“…The tool we developed focused on the second step of a risk assessment and provided a detailed decision tree/step wise process that allows a consistent approach to be taken for these environmental impact studies, and the screening and scoping thereof. Whilst there are guidance documents that provide either specific or generic guidance for the different steps (e.g., Fletcher, 2005Fletcher, , 2015Gormley et al, 2011;Koss et al, 2011;Lonsdale et al, 2015Lonsdale et al, , 2020European Union, 2017a,b,c;Cains and Henshel, 2021), this is the first of its kind, that the authors are aware of, that brings all of these together to deliver a consistent and comprehensive assessment of a development in the marine environment.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Developing an Ecological Risk Assessment to Effectively Manage Marine Resources in Data-Limited Locations: A Case Study for St Helena Sand Extraction

2021

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Maritime states are faced with the challenge of effectively managing their marine spaces to use resources sustainably, maximise economic potential and simultaneously protect their marine environments. Anthropogenic activities, whether in isolation or combination, all have effects on the natural environment. Each of these effects has a footprint in time and space. Assessing the distribution and intensity of human activities and their effects on marine biodiversity, and all other human uses and users is necessary for effective spatial planning, as well as to harmonise conservation with sustainable development. Assessing and managing combined pressures from human activities can be achieved using risk assessment and risk management processes. There are multiple examples of environmental risk assessments which propose a similar formula. However, standardised approaches to ecological risk assessment in data-limited locations that relate to sand extraction are limited. Also most assessments require a certain level of information to produce meaningful outcomes, that enable subsequent management action to appropriately reflect the identified level of risk. Here we outline an approach to assess the risk to the marine environment of sand extraction activity within the Exclusive Economic Zone and Marine Protected Area of St Helena Island in the Atlantic. The proposed risk assessment tool has supported the development of a sand extraction management strategy on St Helena, and will be used to inform future management plans and policies that allow anthropogenic activities to take place in a way that balances local management, monitoring and enforcement capability, in line with the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Category VI designation. Both the tool and strategy promote sustainable use of resources and protection of the marine environment, which are key objectives stated in the St Helena Marine Management Plan.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…(3) identifying and appraising the management options available; and (4) addressing the risk with the chosen risk management strategy (see Gormley et al, 2011;Cains and Henshel, 2021). An international standard exists for risk management, the International Organisation for Standardisation (ISO) 31000.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing an Ecological Risk Assessment to Effectively Manage Marine Resources in Data-Limited Locations: A Case Study for St Helena Sand Extraction

2021

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“…We present a conceptual framework developed to guide chemical and climate change decision‐makers on the implications of climate change for current chemicals management strategies such as those summarized in Table 1. This framework, environmental management cycles for chemicals and climate change (EMC 4 ), illustrates the flow of information and interactions between components of the assessment, management, and implementation processes (Figure 1) and builds on following existing management (nonanalytical) approaches such as Driver‐Pressure‐State‐Impact‐Response (DPSIR, environment focus; EEA, 1999; Patrício et al, 2016), the Driving force‐Pressure‐State‐Exposure‐Effect‐Action (DPSEEA, environmental health focus; Corvalán et al, 1999; Edokpolo et al, 2019), and the adaptive management framework (Van den Brink et al, 2016; Cains & Henshel, 2021). …”

Section: Implications Of Climate Change For Chemicals Managementmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental management cycles for chemicals and climate change, EMC⁴: A new conceptual framework contextualizing climate and chemical risk assessment and management

Cains,

Desrousseaux,

Boxall

et al. 2023

Integr Envir Assess & Manag

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The environmental management cycles for chemicals and climate change (EMC4) is a suggested conceptual framework for integrating climate change aspects into chemical risk management. The interaction of climate change and chemical risk brings together complex systems that are imperfectly understood by science. Making management decisions in this context is therefore difficult and often exacerbated by a lack of data. The consequences of poor decision‐making can be significant for both environmental and human health. This article reflects on the ways in which existing chemicals management systems consider climate change and proposes the EMC4 conceptual framework, which is a tool for decision‐makers operating at different spatial scales. Also presented are key questions raised by the tool to help the decision‐maker identify chemical risks from climate change, management options, and, importantly, the different types of actors that are instrumental in managing that risk. Case studies showing decision‐making at different spatial scales are also presented highlighting the conceptual framework's applicability to multiple scales. The United Nations Environment Programme's development of an intergovernmental Science Policy Panel on Chemicals and Waste has presented an opportunity to promote and generate research highlighting the impacts of chemicals and climate change interlinkages. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2023;00:1–21. © 2023 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).

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“…Many research teams, special interest groups, official government entities, and think tanks have adopted similar yet slightly divergent heuristics for understanding resilience in socialecological systems (Gunderson 2002, 2010, Walker et al 2006, Angeler and Allen 2016, Asadzadeh et al 2017, Allen et al 2018, Salomon et al 2019, Cains and Henshel 2020. Several of these heuristics are used by different groups to frame their specialized definition(s) of systemic resilience; for example, Folke et al (2010) outline resilience as social-ecological persistence, adaptability, and transformability, whereas Gallopín (2006) defines the linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity.…”

Section: Measuring Resiliencementioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying the transient shock response of dynamic agroecosystem variables for improved socio-environmental resilience

Carper¹,

Alizadeh²,

Adamowski³

et al. 2021

E&S

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In classic resilience thinking, there is an implicit focus on controlling functional variation to maintain system stability. Modern approaches to resilience thinking deal with complex, adaptive system dynamics and true uncertainty; these contemporary frameworks involve the process of learning to live with change and make use of the consequences of transformation and development. In a socio-environmental context, the identification of metrics by which resilience can be effectively and reliably measured is fundamental to understanding the unique vulnerabilities that characterize coupled human and natural systems. We developed an innovative procedure for stakeholder-friendly quantification of socio-environmental resilience metrics. These metrics were calculated and analyzed through the application of discrete disturbance simulations, which were produced using a dynamically coupled, biophysical-socioeconomic modeling framework. Following the development of a unique shock-response assessment regime, five metrics (time to baseline-level recovery, rate of return to baseline, degree of return to baseline, overall post-disturbance perturbation, and corrective impact of disturbance) describing distinct aspects of systemic resilience were quantified for three agroecosystem variables (farm income, watertable depth, and crop revenue) over a period of 30 years in the Rechna Doab basin of northeastern Pakistan. Using this procedure, we determined that farm income is the least resilient variable of the three tested. Farm income was easily diverted from the "normal" functional paradigm for the Rechna Doab socio-environmental system, regardless of shock type, intensity, or duration combination. Crop revenue was the least stable variable (i.e., outputs fluctuated significantly between very high and very low values). Water-table depth was consistently the most robust and resistant to change, even under physical shock conditions. The procedure developed here should improve the ease with which stakeholders are able to conduct quantitative resilience analyses.

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Parameterization Framework and Quantification Approach for Integrated Risk and Resilience Assessments

Abstract: This article is part of the special series "Applications of Bayesian Networks for Environmental Risk Assessment and Management" and was generated from a session on the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) in environmental modeling and assessment in 1 of 3 recent conferences:

Cited by 12 publications

References 51 publications

Developing an Ecological Risk Assessment to Effectively Manage Marine Resources in Data-Limited Locations: A Case Study for St Helena Sand Extraction

Developing an Ecological Risk Assessment to Effectively Manage Marine Resources in Data-Limited Locations: A Case Study for St Helena Sand Extraction

Environmental management cycles for chemicals and climate change, EMC⁴: A new conceptual framework contextualizing climate and chemical risk assessment and management

Quantifying the transient shock response of dynamic agroecosystem variables for improved socio-environmental resilience

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Parameterization Framework and Quantification Approach for Integrated Risk and Resilience Assessments

Abstract: This article is part of the special series "Applications of Bayesian Networks for Environmental Risk Assessment and Management" and was generated from a session on the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) in environmental modeling and assessment in 1 of 3 recent conferences:

Cited by 12 publications

References 51 publications

Developing an Ecological Risk Assessment to Effectively Manage Marine Resources in Data-Limited Locations: A Case Study for St Helena Sand Extraction

Developing an Ecological Risk Assessment to Effectively Manage Marine Resources in Data-Limited Locations: A Case Study for St Helena Sand Extraction

Environmental management cycles for chemicals and climate change, EMC4: A new conceptual framework contextualizing climate and chemical risk assessment and management

Quantifying the transient shock response of dynamic agroecosystem variables for improved socio-environmental resilience

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About

Environmental management cycles for chemicals and climate change, EMC⁴: A new conceptual framework contextualizing climate and chemical risk assessment and management