Daily asthma attack diaries of 16 panels of asthmatics residing in the Los Angeles area were collected by the Environmental Protection Agency for 34-week periods during the years [1972][1973][1974][1975]. These data are examined here for the relationship between daily attack occurrence and daily levels of photochemical oxidant, total suspended particulates, minimum temperature, relative humidity, and average wind speed. A separate multiple logistic regression is used for each panelist's attack data. Variables representing the presence or absence of attack on the preceding day, as well as day of week and time since the start of the study, are included in the regressions. The most significant predictor of attacks was the presence of an
Initrodtiction1Asthma is a condition marked by recurrent attacks of paroxysmal dyspnea, with wheezing due to spasmodic contraction of the bronchi. Its onset and aggravation are ascribed to such factors as allergens, pollens, emotional stress, bronchopulmonary infection, air pollution, and weather. Despite the prevalence and potentially fatal nature of this disease, until 1960 there had been few epidemiological studies attempting to clarify the roles of the above factors. Since then, concern with adverse health effects of the environment has stimulated a number of investigations, including studies in Los Angeles,' Nashville,2 3 New York,4 Philadelphia,5 New Orleans,6 New Cumberland, West Virginia,7 and Leiden, the Netherlands.8 In 1970, in response to a mandate of the U.S. Congress under the Clean Air Act, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) initiated a number of panel studies of the relationship between asthma and air pollution in the metropolitan areas of New York City9 and Salt Lake City.'0 These studies were part of a larger program, entitled "'The Community Health Environmental Surveillance System" (CHESS), whose objective was to evaluate the acute and chronic respiratory effects of air contaminants. attack on the preceding day. On the average, the panelists tended to have increased attacks on days with high oxidant and particulate pollution, on cool days, and during the first two months of the study. Panelists' attack propensity also differed by day of week; in particular they had more attacks on Saturdays (the last day of the weekly reporting period) than on Sundays. Each panelist's regression coefficients are classified according to age, sex, hay fever status, and self-assessed attack precursors; this classification is used to examine subgroups among the panelists with high coefficients corresponding to the above factors. (Am J Public Health 1980; 70:687-6%.) the early CHESS studies led, in 1976, to a Congressional investigative report." That report qualifies and complements the CHESS findings by pointing out theoretical and technical limitations inherent in the statistical and epidemiological methodology.The purpose of the present paper is to report the results of an analysis of data collected by EPA-CHESS during the years 1972-1975 concerning 16 panels...