BackgroundThe identification of protein biomarkers to guide treatment decisions regarding adjuvant therapies for high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) has been of increasing interest. Evidence of the impact of tumor suppressor gene product p53 and cell proliferation marker Ki-67 on oncologic outcomes in bladder cancer patients at highest risk of recurrence and progression is partially contradictory. We sought to mirror contemporary expression patterns of p53 and Ki-67 in a select cohort of patients with pT1 bladder cancer.MethodsPatients from four Northern German institutions with a primary diagnosis of pT1 bladder cancer between 2009 and 2016 and complete data regarding p53 or Ki-67 expression status were included for final analyses. Baseline patient characteristics (age, gender, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index) and tumor characteristics [diagnostic sequence, tumor focality, concomitant carcinoma in situ, 1973 World Health Organization (WHO) grading, lymphovascular invasion, adjuvant instillation therapy] were abstracted by retrospective chart review. Immunohistochemistry for detection of p53 and Ki-67 expression was performed according to standardized protocols. Microscopic analyses were performed by central pathologic review. First, we compared patients with positive vs. negative p53 expression and Ki-67 labeling index [>40% vs. ≤40%; cutoffs based on best discriminative ability in univariable Cox regression analysis with disease-free survival (DFS) as endpoint] with regard to baseline and tumor characteristics. Second, we evaluated the effect of biomarker positivity on DFS by plotting univariable Kaplan-Meier curves and performing uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses.ResultsOf 102 patients with complete information on p53 status, 44 (43.1%) were p53 positive, and they more often harbored concomitant carcinoma in situ (50.0% vs. 27.6%; P=0.032) and 1973 WHO grade 3 (97.7% vs. 69.0%; P=0.001) compared to their p53 negative counterparts. Of 79 patients with complete information on Ki-67 expression status, 30 (38.0%) had a labeling index >40%. Mean Ki-67 labeling index was higher in WHO grade 3 vs. grade 2 tumors (45.8 vs. 29.7; P=0.004). At a median follow-up of 51.0 months, 31/91 patients with complete follow-up information (34.1%) suffered from disease recurrence or progression. In univariable Kaplan-Meier analyses, no difference regarding DFS was found in p53 positive vs. negative (P=0.8) or Ki-67 labeling index >40% vs. ≤40% (P=0.078) patients. In multivariable analyses, Ki-67 labeling index >40% remained an independent predictor of DFS [hazard ratio (HR), 2.66; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02–6.95; P=0.046], after adjusting for p53 expression and lymphovascular invasion. However, p53 status was not associated with our endpoint (P=0.8).ConclusionsWhile we found an association of a Ki-67 labeling index >40% and shorter DFS in pT1 bladder cancer patients, this did not hold true for p53 positivity. Future research is needed to identify additional microscopic and molecular ris...