2003
DOI: 10.1111/1467-9868.00389
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Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes

Abstract: Summary.A dynamic treatment regime is a list of decision rules, one per time interval, for how the level of treatment will be tailored through time to an individual's changing status. The goal of this paper is to use experimental or observational data to estimate decision regimes that result in a maximal mean response. To explicate our objective and to state the assumptions, we use the potential outcomes model. The method proposed makes smooth parametric assumptions only on quantities that are directly relevan… Show more

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Cited by 831 publications
(942 citation statements)
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References 29 publications
(71 reference statements)
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“…AIs are also known by a variety of different names. In the statistical literature, they are commonly referred to as dynamic treatment regimes [17,19,[25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37] (or, more appropriately, regimens). In the mental health and substance use literatures, they are more commonly known as adaptive treatment strategies [38,39].…”
Section: Adaptive Interventionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…AIs are also known by a variety of different names. In the statistical literature, they are commonly referred to as dynamic treatment regimes [17,19,[25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37] (or, more appropriately, regimens). In the mental health and substance use literatures, they are more commonly known as adaptive treatment strategies [38,39].…”
Section: Adaptive Interventionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For those who desire more precision, we recommend looking into research in statistics, medicine, computer science, and other fields, where determining the optimal decision rule is currently an extremely active area. For example, see Shachter (1986), Owens et al (1997), Murphy (2003), Bather (2000), Cowell et al (1999), and Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis (1996). In particular, the last four consider the highly complex time-varying setting, where interactions among tailoring variables and effects of prior decisions are incorporated.…”
Section: Articulating the Model Relating Tailoring Variables Dosagementioning
confidence: 99%
“…As more scientists articulate these relations, perhaps information will accumulate that will be helpful to the prevention science community at large, including new procedures for establishing the relations empirically. Research is also needed on methods for estimating decisions rules that will optimize response (e.g., Murphy, 2003).…”
Section: Future Research Directions and Open Questionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is crucial that methods from statistics be combined with methods from reinforcement learning to reduce the bias when observational data is used. This is the subject of extensive research in statistics (Murphy, 2003;Robbins, 2004).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Clinical guidelines individualize treatment by recommending treatment type, dosage, or duration depending on the patient's history of treatment response, adherence, and burden. Adaptive treatment strategies Dawson, 1998,2003;Lavori et al, 2000;Murphy, 2003;Murphy and McKay, 2004;Collins et al, 2004) are operationalized clinical guidelines. These strategies consist of a sequence of "decision rules" which individually tailor a sequence of treatments for individual patients.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%